sharpside
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Traders/Rank #358

cashy

0x8f4…b88f@cashyPoly
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$548kvol $13.9M
PnL 30d−$4,581gains $9,573 · losses $1,498
PnL 7d−$2,440win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate73.0%adj 72.1% · 30d 84.2%
Open value$157kcash n/a
Positions60 / 928open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.9%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$535kbelow peak −$16.5kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

85/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82
Adjusted win rateraw 73.0% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 60

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No68.3k62.7¢63.5¢$43.3k+$516$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No31.8k85.2¢86.5¢$27.5k+$418$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No23.7k87¢90.5¢$21.4k+$828$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No13.3k86.3¢96.3¢$12.8k+$1,329$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes12.2k88.2¢79.5¢$9,716−$1,060$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No21.6k41¢44¢$9,521+$648$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No33.7k33.5¢23¢$7,752−$3,528+$4.41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes50.0k26.9¢15.2¢$7,575−$5,875$0
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No3,59098.6¢97.9¢$3,512−$28$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes8,50448.6¢37.5¢$3,189−$941+$222
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No4,44462¢58.5¢$2,600−$156$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No13.4k16.3¢18.5¢$2,470+$289$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes1,73294¢93.5¢$1,619−$8.66$0
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No1,85674¢72.5¢$1,345−$28$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No2,68646.3¢28.7¢$771−$473+$223
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No13.8k5.4¢5.6¢$770+$34−$13
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Yes4,86058.5¢12.5¢$608−$2,234$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Yes1,49735¢33.5¢$501−$22$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes53162.9¢85.7¢$455+$121$0
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes95034¢37.5¢$356+$33$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes4,86547¢5.5¢$268−$2,019$0
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes52024.8¢26.5¢$138+$8.81$0
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Yes1,01811.4¢12¢$122+$5.86$0
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?No2,6816¢4.5¢$119−$41$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes36626.9¢11.5¢$42−$56$0
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes5734¢35¢$20+$0.57$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No16.7k14.5¢0¢$0−$2,416$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No16.0k24.5¢0¢$0−$3,921$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes15.1k4.9¢0¢$0−$745$0
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes12.3k13.2¢0¢$0−$1,626+$1,026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No11.1k7¢0¢$0−$778+$2,084
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Yes11.0k10.4¢0¢$0−$1,142+$1.52
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No8,88813¢0¢$0−$1,155$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes7,77716¢0¢$0−$1,244$0
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?No7,2117¢0¢$0−$505+$487
Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes6,6455.5¢0¢$0−$366$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No6,12111.4¢0¢$0−$697+$127
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Yes5,5557¢0¢$0−$389−$11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No5,55529¢0¢$0−$1,611$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?Yes5,2702.4¢0¢$0−$125−$4.67
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No3,33329¢0¢$0−$967$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes3,08219.7¢0¢$0−$606$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes2,87739.5¢0¢$0−$1,135$0
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes2,8138.9¢0¢$0−$250−$11
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?Yes2,71816¢0¢$0−$435−$18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes2,6404.2¢0¢$0−$111$0
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes2,1506.6¢0¢$0−$141$0
Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?Yes1,64711¢0¢$0−$181$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes1,53432.1¢0¢$0−$493$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?No1,47643.7¢0¢$0−$645−$581
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes1,11114.7¢0¢$0−$163$0
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Israel end in a draw?No1,11129¢0¢$0−$322$0
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany99315¢0¢$0−$149−$3.80
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Yes83312¢0¢$0−$100−$2.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Yes55580¢0¢$0−$444$0
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over49420.2¢0¢$0−$100−$2.39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes47621¢0¢$0−$100−$2.37
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No27844.9¢0¢$0−$125+$30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?Yes5317¢0¢$0−$9.09−$0.38
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreYes4025¢0¢$0−$10−$0.23

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?20¢7,891$1,57873%85Sharp
BUY NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?6¢2,681$16073%85Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?20.9¢14.0k$2,91073%85Sharp
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?18¢2,239$40373%85Sharp
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?41.7¢12.7k$5,31673%85Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?5¢2,700$13573%85Sharp
BUY YesIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?35¢1,497$52373%85Sharp
SELL NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?98.1¢3,932$3,85873%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?98.5¢2,459$2,42173%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?85¢7,036$5,98173%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Israel win on 2026-10-04?16¢880$14173%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Israel win on 2026-10-04?16¢1,838$29473%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?99¢1,131$1,12073%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?84.5¢4,231$3,57673%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?26.9¢366$9973%85Sharp
BUY NoWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?85.2¢3,651$3,11173%85Sharp
BUY YesWill the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?24.8¢437$10873%85Sharp
BUY YesWill the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?11.4¢1,018$11673%85Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?2.9¢13.1k$38573%85Sharp
SELL YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?88¢1,178$1,03773%85Sharp