sharpside
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Polymarket
PnL all-time+$331vol $105k
PnL 30d+$297gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$371win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.7%adj 50.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,417cash n/a
Positions14 / 94open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$209below peak −$517Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale36
Adjusted win rateraw 50.7% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No53063¢93.5¢$496+$162$0
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)Modena FC 201848589¢100¢$485+$53$0
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes88774.2¢39.3¢$348−$310$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No9272¢96.2¢$89+$22+$2.76
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $650M and $700M at market close on IPO day?Yes78514¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?No50242¢0¢$0−$211$0
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central EaglesMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks31715¢0¢$0−$48$0
Partizan vs. BC DubaiBC Dubai13284¢0¢$0−$111$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes910.7¢0¢$0−$0.64$0
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?No9015¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?No2312¢0¢$0−$2.76−$76
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?No1172¢0¢$0−$7.92+$30
Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes21.4¢0¢$0−$0.03+$0.25
Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes132¢0¢$0−$0.32+$212

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?63¢530$33451%29
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?58¢607$35251%29
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?58¢436$25351%29
SELL YesWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?24¢145$3551%29
SELL NoWill Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-07?66¢35$2351%29
SELL NoWill QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026?57¢109$6251%29
SELL YesWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?24¢15$3.6051%29
BUY NoWill Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-07?67¢35$2351%29
BUY NoWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?88¢1,043$91851%29
SELL NoWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?57¢276$15751%29
SELL NoWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?57¢200$11451%29
SELL NoWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?88¢548$48251%29
BUY NoWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?89¢548$48851%29
BUY Modena FC 2018Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)89¢485$43251%29
SELL NoWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?88¢151$13351%29
SELL NoWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?88¢397$34951%29
SELL NoWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?88¢332$29251%29
SELL YesWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?22¢20$4.4051%29
BUY NoWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?87¢880$76651%29
SELL NoWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?52¢122$6351%29