PnL all-time+$602vol $97.7k
PnL 30d−$159gains $820 · losses $223
PnL 7d−$49win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate56.7%adj 56.1% · 30d 78.3%
Open value$992cash n/a
Positions10 / 216open / all-time
Max drawdown−62.6%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 3h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$645below peak −$219Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 56.7% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity37
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$164Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$163Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$126Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$120Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? · Noclosed+$115
Worst markets
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30? · Noclosed−$172Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$169Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20? · Yesclosed−$133Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$112Will the ECB announce no change? · Yesclosed−$111
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | No | 457 | 68.3¢ | 68¢ | $311 | −$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $255 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | No | 300 | 69.8¢ | 77.5¢ | $233 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 27.7¢ | 20.5¢ | $103 | −$36 | +$3.63 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | No | 200 | 42¢ | 37.5¢ | $75 | −$8.99 | −$0.83 | |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | Yes | 200 | 11.5¢ | 8¢ | $16 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? | No | 200 | 51.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026? | No | 162 | 22.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | −$1.40 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19? | Yes | 100 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026? | No | 71 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | −$0.88 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s