sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #16,104

Repentant-Turnip

0x90d…f62a
PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$22.7kvol $2.43M
PnL 30d+$569gains $201 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,135win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate25.0%adj 40.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,708cash n/a
Positions132 / 144open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 19h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$22.3kbelow peak −$24.5kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 25.0% · shrunk toward 50%2
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes15.4k9¢9.5¢$1,458+$77$0
2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes71.5k0.2¢0.3¢$179+$36$0
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes3780.7¢8.6¢$32+$30$0
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4,7470.5¢0.5¢$21−$2.37$0
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes5033.1¢3.2¢$16+$0.25$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes473.8¢2.8¢$1.29−$0.49$0
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes198k0.4¢0¢$0−$757+$23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?Yes182k0.2¢0¢$0−$369$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes117k6.2¢0¢$0−$7,252$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes82.1k3.1¢0¢$0−$2,513$0
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes59.3k0.5¢0¢$0−$325$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?Yes23.1k0.8¢0¢$0−$183$0
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Yes19.6k1.6¢0¢$0−$311$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes19.2k12.4¢0¢$0−$2,382$0
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes17.1k0.1¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?Yes17.0k1.7¢0¢$0−$287$0
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes16.2k1.3¢0¢$0−$208$0
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Yes15.3k0.7¢0¢$0−$113$0
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes15.2k4.2¢0¢$0−$647$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes12.8k0.6¢0¢$0−$81+$269
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Yes12.7k0.2¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes12.5k3.2¢0¢$0−$396$0
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes11.9k1.2¢0¢$0−$145$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes11.4k5.8¢0¢$0−$658$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes10,0006¢0¢$0−$602$0
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?Yes9,9061.6¢0¢$0−$162$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?Yes8,6500.5¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes8,3651.4¢0¢$0−$116$0
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes8,0065.2¢0¢$0−$419$0
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes7,5142.3¢0¢$0−$171$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes7,2671.7¢0¢$0−$121$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes7,1003.8¢0¢$0−$270$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?Yes7,0780.5¢0¢$0−$32$0
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Yes7,0000.7¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes6,9652.7¢0¢$0−$191$0
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes6,5782.8¢0¢$0−$187$0
Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes6,3453¢0¢$0−$192−$33
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes6,32814.6¢0¢$0−$925$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?Yes6,1500.9¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes5,8892¢0¢$0−$115$0
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes5,8571¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Yes5,7511.9¢0¢$0−$108$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?Yes5,4341.7¢0¢$0−$94$0
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Yes5,3002.5¢0¢$0−$132$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes5,0020.8¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes4,5311.3¢0¢$0−$57$0
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Yes4,1491¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes3,9900.9¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Yes3,8300.2¢0¢$0−$8.60$0
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Yes3,7552.5¢0¢$0−$93$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes3,7001¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?Yes3,5090.9¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Yes3,5000.2¢0¢$0−$7.00$0
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?Yes3,1811.2¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Yes3,1501.6¢0¢$0−$51−$1.37
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?Yes3,0890.7¢0¢$0−$22$0
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes3,0686.5¢0¢$0−$199+$0.30
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?Yes3,0064.1¢0¢$0−$123$0
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes2,9104.3¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of March?Yes2,8711¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?Yes2,7450.8¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes2,7302.3¢0¢$0−$64$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?Yes2,7290.9¢0¢$0−$24+$12
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes2,6407¢0¢$0−$185$0
Will the US strike Mexico next?Yes2,5491.6¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes2,5455.8¢0¢$0−$147$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes2,4651.4¢0¢$0−$36$0
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes2,4431.3¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes2,2911.1¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes2,1841.5¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes2,1801.8¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Yes2,0071.2¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?Yes1,9833.7¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?Yes1,9500.9¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes1,9001.7¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Yes1,8001¢0¢$0−$18−$11
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Yes1,7943.6¢0¢$0−$65$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?Yes1,7701.2¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes1,7411.8¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Yes1,6470.5¢0¢$0−$8.90$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes1,6404.6¢0¢$0−$75−$2.18
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?Yes1,5509.4¢0¢$0−$145$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes1,5021.7¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes1,4503.3¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes1,36510.2¢0¢$0−$139$0
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes1,30617¢0¢$0−$222$0
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes1,2761.1¢0¢$0−$14$0
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes1,2701.4¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?Yes1,1371.2¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes1,1107¢0¢$0−$78$0
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?Yes1,1001.6¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes1,0706.7¢0¢$0−$71$0
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes1,0401.7¢0¢$0−$18$0
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Yes1,0001.8¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes96816.4¢0¢$0−$158$0
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes8902¢0¢$0−$18$0
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes8402.1¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes7772.9¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?Yes7432.9¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes7404.4¢0¢$0−$32$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: Other0.2¢20.3k$4125%13
BUY YesWill the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?0.5¢4,747$2425%13
BUY YesWill the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?3.1¢92$2.8625%13
BUY YesWill the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?3.1¢411$1325%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House9¢14.7k$1,32725%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: Other0.2¢51.1k$10225%13
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House0.8¢347k$2,78025%13
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House0.8¢52.5k$42025%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House9¢604$5425%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House0.9¢20.5k$18425%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House1¢4,734$4725%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House1.1¢44.8k$48025%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House1¢39.0k$38925%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House0.6¢67.8k$40725%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House0.5¢30.3k$15125%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House0.6¢136k$81725%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House0.6¢85.8k$51525%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House1.5¢8,177$12325%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House1.4¢3,500$4925%13
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House1.3¢9,908$12825%13