sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,070

jayhawkjeff

0x910…91a9
PoliticsCultureOtherWeatherSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,414vol $342k
PnL 30d−$11gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate54.5%adj 54.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$5,119cash n/a
Positions52 / 347open / all-time
Max drawdown−56.4%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,440below peak −$305Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 54.5% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity44

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5 · Overopen+$1,440Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? · Yesclosed+$810Will Trump say "Pipeline" or "Road" during Taoiseach events? · Noclosed+$670Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19? · Yesclosed+$524Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$444

Worst markets

Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Noclosed−$524Will Trump say "Take the oil" or "Keep the oil" during events with Rutte? · Yesopen−$497Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5 · Underclosed−$491Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? · Noclosed−$432Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? · Noopen−$331

Open positions · 52

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5Over1,61811¢100¢$1,618+$1,440$0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State Gamecocks76984.9¢100¢$769+$116$0
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC66384¢100¢$663+$106$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No67761¢93.5¢$633+$220$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?No35939.6¢100¢$359+$217$0
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)EC Juventude60650¢50¢$303$0$0
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No19274.9¢92.5¢$178+$34−$2.33
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois PanthersEastern Illinois Panthers17178.9¢100¢$171+$36$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic15360¢95.5¢$146+$54$0
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?Yes11113¢100¢$111+$97+$344
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?No6084¢100¢$60+$9.60$0
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes3717¢100¢$37+$31+$15
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI63240¢4.5¢$28−$224$0
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX2669¢100¢$26+$8.06$0
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?Yes581.9¢100¢$5.00+$0.91$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes5053¢4.4¢$2.17−$24−$7.26
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?No457¢54¢$2.16−$0.12+$25
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Yes12822¢1.7¢$2.11−$26−$6.08
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over264¢100¢$2.00+$0.72$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes1326¢9.5¢$1.24−$2.15+$8.63
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes184¢89.4¢$0.89+$0.05+$0.15
Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes745¢8¢$0.53−$2.46−$7.13
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes458¢11¢$0.44−$1.88−$71
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Yes116¢3.9¢$0.04−$0.12+$6.13
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Over94532¢0¢$0−$302$0
Will Trump say "Take the oil" or "Keep the oil" during events with Rutte?Yes80162¢0¢$0−$497$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?No77835¢0¢$0−$272$0
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI63910.8¢0¢$0−$69$0
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 6AM ETUp59350¢0¢$0−$297$0
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes54117¢0¢$0−$92$0
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes53911¢0¢$0−$59$0
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5Under45269¢0¢$0−$312$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No39669¢0¢$0−$273−$57
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $600M and $650M at market close on IPO day?Yes39517¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes33012¢0¢$0−$40$0
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Over31234¢0¢$0−$106$0
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 2PM ETUp23550¢0¢$0−$118$0
Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes20221¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes15847¢0¢$0−$74+$15
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes14214.4¢0¢$0−$20$0
Counter-Strike: Legion vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: Asian Closed Qualifier Group StageTHUNDER dOWNUNDER13789¢0¢$0−$122$0
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 5AM ETUp11350¢0¢$0−$57$0
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over8480¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?Yes5323¢0¢$0−$12$0
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 3AM ETDown4451¢0¢$0−$22$0
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 3AM ETDown1650¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders1315.1¢0¢$0−$1.96$0
Will Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes526¢0¢$0−$1.30+$44
Will Andrew Tate post 310-339 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes21.1¢0¢$0−$0.02+$1.07
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes120¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes123¢0¢$0−$0.23+$9.67
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes12¢0¢$0−$0.02−$1.84

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?82¢953$78155%44
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?61¢677$41355%44
BUY NoFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?81¢953$77255%44
SELL NoWill 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?96.2¢712$68555%44
SELL NoWill 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?96.1¢279$26855%44
SELL YesFannie Mae IPO before 2027?14¢35$4.9055%44
SELL YesFannie Mae IPO before 2027?14¢41$5.7455%44
SELL NoWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?78¢876$68355%44
BUY NoWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?78¢876$68355%44
BUY OpenAIWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?10.5¢577$6155%44
BUY NoWill 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?88¢991$87255%44
SELL NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?48¢678$32555%44
SELL NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?48¢54$2655%44
SELL NoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?87¢515$44855%44
SELL NoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?87¢356$31055%44
SELL NoWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?26¢816$21255%44
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?87¢740$64455%44
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?87¢740$64455%44
BUY NoWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?79¢816$64555%44
SELL NoDeel IPO before 2027?82¢305$25055%44