PnL all-time+$109kvol $4.35M
PnL 30d−$116kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate94.3%adj 88.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$118kcash n/a
Positions4 / 130open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.3%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 35d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$109kbelow peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 94.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$9,485US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Noclosed+$7,987Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? · Noclosed+$6,394Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Noclosed+$6,087Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed+$5,504
Worst markets
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? · Noclosed−$4,267Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? · Trumpclosed−$1,094Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 September 13? · Noclosed−$216Israel military response against Iran in October? · Yesclosed−$174Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Upclosed−$100
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 76.5k | 98¢ | 100¢ | $76.5k | +$1,567 | −$3.99 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 41.2k | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $41.2k | +$590 | $0 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 10 | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $10 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10 | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $10 | +$0.11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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