PnL all-time+$39vol $11.3k
PnL 30d+$101gains $184 · losses $160
PnL 7d+$72win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate59.2%adj 57.3% · 30d 59.0%
Open value$165cash n/a
Positions3 / 79open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.6%of equity peak
Account age42dlast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$116below peak −$5.05Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale23
Adjusted win rateraw 59.2% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Noopen+$22Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Noclosed+$20Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Noclosed+$19Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Noclosed+$18Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yesclosed+$16
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yesclosed−$24Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yesclosed−$19Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yesclosed−$15Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yesclosed−$12Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yesopen−$12
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 154 | 78¢ | 92.5¢ | $142 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 23 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $22 | +$0.35 | $0 |
Recent trades
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