PnL all-time−$300vol $51.8k
PnL 30d−$0.79gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$7.69win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate89.3%adj 86.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$283cash n/a
Positions3 / 311open / all-time
Max drawdown−77.8%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$255below peak −$336Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 89.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity22
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3) · Yesclosed+$76Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? · Yesclosed+$74Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k? · Yesclosed+$69Will MrBeast's latest video get 16–18 million views on day 1? · Noclosed+$51Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? · Noclosed+$41
Worst markets
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11? · Noclosed−$781Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 26? · Noclosed−$178Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1? · Noclosed−$106Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 22? · Noclosed−$98Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10? · Yesclosed−$89
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? | No | 238 | 90.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $231 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | No | 62 | 31.2¢ | 72.5¢ | $45 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? | No | 7 | 95.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $6.93 | −$0.03 | $0 |
Recent trades
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