sharpside
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0x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a2b

0x917…a2b2
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$43.2kvol $16.0M
PnL 30d+$43gains $5,412 · losses $3,882
PnL 7d−$535win rate 7d 26.7%
Win rate42.2%adj 42.5% · 30d 36.9%
Open value$421cash n/a
Positions14 / 2,096open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$43.2kbelow peak −$3,665Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 42.2% · shrunk toward 50%6
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No69623¢26¢$181+$21−$26
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes181k0.2¢0.1¢$90−$271−$1.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes5,0002¢1.6¢$78−$23−$283
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Yes1,9353.8¢2.4¢$45−$27$0
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes6213.7¢2.5¢$15−$7.76+$12
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Yes1,9901.8¢0.6¢$12−$23$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes10.6k1.9¢0¢$0−$201−$24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28?Up3,4323.3¢0¢$0−$113+$154
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No3,2211.6¢0¢$0−$53−$35
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes1,2000.4¢0¢$0−$4.80−$85
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 30?Down5283¢0¢$0−$16$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?Down46710.9¢0¢$0−$51−$6.92
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 7, 2026?Yes1322.1¢0¢$0−$2.77−$0.11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1?Down30.1¢0¢$0$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?7¢1,500$10542%60
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?23¢696$16042%60
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?9¢1,500$13542%60
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?11¢1,000$11042%60
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14.2¢2,950$42042%60
BUY DownWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?11.5¢85$9.7842%60
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?16.7¢2,007$33542%60
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?2¢5,000$10042%60
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?10¢1,000$10042%60
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?18¢1,000$18042%60
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?10¢1,148$11542%60
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?2.1¢14.5k$30042%60
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?30.9¢219$6842%60
BUY YesIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?7.5¢680$5142%60
SELL YesWill AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?7¢908$6442%60
BUY YesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 8, 2026?1.8¢300$5.4042%60
BUY YesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 7, 2026?2.1¢132$2.7742%60
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?13¢5$0.6542%60
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?13¢796$10342%60
SELL YesWill AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?19.7¢462$9142%60