PnL all-time−$1,270vol $164k
PnL 30d+$25gains $38 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.60win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.2%adj 57.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$535cash n/a
Positions36 / 351open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,276below peak −$2,138Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 58.2% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12? · Yesclosed+$271Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing? · Yesclosed+$264Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%? · Yesclosed+$166Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February? · Yesclosed+$132Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round? · Yesclosed+$122
Worst markets
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19? · Noclosed−$402Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000? · Noopen−$396Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo? · Noclosed−$350Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-18? · Noclosed−$323MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$213
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5) | Ceará SC | 706 | 50¢ | 50¢ | $353 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%? | No | 170 | 84.2¢ | 100¢ | $170 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 20 | 57¢ | 25.5¢ | $5.10 | −$6.30 | −$11 | |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | Yes | 5 | 76.6¢ | 100¢ | $5.00 | +$1.17 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | 56¢ | 39.5¢ | $1.98 | −$0.82 | $0 |
Recent trades
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