sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,347

Glicha

0x91f…8f40
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,986vol $289k
PnL 30d+$572gains $722 · losses $246
PnL 7d−$2.43win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate68.4%adj 67.4% · 30d 90.6%
Open value$5,559cash n/a
Positions61 / 410open / all-time
Max drawdown−90.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,298below peak −$1,098Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 68.4% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity10

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 61

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2,60146.8¢45.5¢$1,183−$33+$20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes81868¢64.5¢$528−$29$0
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes48886.9¢87¢$424+$0.66$0
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No51677.8¢82.2¢$424+$22+$28
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes41485.5¢92.9¢$385+$31+$7.90
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No34686.4¢92.5¢$320+$21+$0.54
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No32651.9¢83.5¢$273+$103+$535
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No44347¢53.6¢$238+$29+$1.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes41061.9¢56.5¢$232−$22+$30
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes63626.8¢26.5¢$169−$1.81+$16
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No16852.9¢92¢$155+$66$0
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Yes21390.1¢72¢$153−$39$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No19072.4¢74.5¢$142+$3.91$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No20052¢53.5¢$107+$3.00$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes17261¢62.1¢$107+$1.89−$3.99
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No11486.4¢91.5¢$104+$5.80+$0.35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes10975¢85.5¢$93+$11+$25
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No12080.8¢77.5¢$93−$4.00$0
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?No14860¢60¢$89$0$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes83813.9¢10.5¢$88−$28−$8.07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No5283.9¢83.5¢$43−$0.20+$3.87
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No8559.1¢37.9¢$32−$18$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes68110.2¢4.7¢$32−$38$0
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?No3097.5¢97.3¢$29−$0.07$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No2087¢96.8¢$19+$1.95+$6.97
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Yes10025¢19¢$19−$6.00$0
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No3171¢58¢$18−$4.05$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No2070¢89.5¢$18+$3.90+$1.70
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes5443.9¢2.7¢$14−$6.66$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes507¢14.5¢$7.25+$3.75$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes2034¢35.5¢$7.10+$0.30$0
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No646¢87.5¢$5.36+$2.54$0
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,0000.3¢0.2¢$3.00−$3.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?No2065¢12¢$2.40−$11$0
Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1016¢20.5¢$2.05+$0.45$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes1015¢16¢$1.60+$0.10$0
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No4701.3¢0¢$0−$6.32−$507
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?Yes3001.9¢0¢$0−$5.69−$0.22
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 20?No29925.5¢0¢$0−$76$0
Trump renames AI by December 31?No25041.6¢0¢$0−$104$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?No25017.6¢0¢$0−$44$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No2001.5¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?No20010.8¢0¢$0−$22$0
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?No18746.7¢0¢$0−$87−$1.38
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes1265.3¢0¢$0−$6.71$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?No11749.8¢0¢$0−$58+$23
Trump renames AI by September 30?No10074¢0¢$0−$74−$0.77
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 22?No1007.4¢0¢$0−$7.44$0
Will Elon tweet 720-759 times in September 2026?Yes1007.2¢0¢$0−$7.20$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10?No9332.2¢0¢$0−$30+$5.12
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?No8427¢0¢$0−$23$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?No5021.3¢0¢$0−$11+$29
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 3?Yes4016¢0¢$0−$6.40−$0.27
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?No201¢0¢$0−$0.20−$5.68
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 3?Yes2043¢0¢$0−$8.60−$0.25
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2016¢0¢$0−$3.20−$0.08
Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Yes1930¢0¢$0−$5.70−$0.16
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?No1229¢0¢$0−$3.48$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp1146¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.19
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5?No1077¢0¢$0−$7.70$0
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No1040¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?62¢100$6268%55
BUY YesWill RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?85¢100$8568%55
BUY YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 11?99¢140$13968%55
BUY YesWill CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?99.8¢5$4.9968%55
BUY YesWill AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?99.5¢7$6.9768%55
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?57¢200$11468%55
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?34¢20$6.8068%55
BUY YesWill Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?27¢10$2.7068%55
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?64¢100$6468%55
BUY NoIsraeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?80¢20$1668%55
BUY YesGitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?98¢10$9.8068%55
BUY YesGitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?98¢10$9.8068%55
BUY YesGitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?98¢55$5468%55
BUY YesGitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?97¢5$4.8568%55
BUY YesGitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?95.3¢14$1468%55
BUY YesGitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?95.7¢60$5768%55
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?64¢23$1568%55
BUY YesWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?98.1¢120$11868%55
BUY YesWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?97.2¢10$9.8068%55
BUY YesWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?97.1¢20$1968%55