sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #11,472

black4562

0x924…a140
WR 60+<30d oldWeatherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$46vol $47.5k
PnL 30d+$13gains $4,699 · losses $4,709
PnL 7d+$49win rate 7d 66.0%
Win rate63.9%adj 63.3% · 30d 63.9%
Open value$3,028cash n/a
Positions35 / 517open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age19dlast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12below peak −$818Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 63.9% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa · Northern Iowaclosed+$642Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 25? · Yesclosed+$211Illawarra Hawks vs. Adelaide 36ers · Illawarra Hawksclosed+$167Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Noclosed+$159Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? · Yesclosed+$151

Worst markets

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25? · Yesclosed−$327Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 28? · Yesclosed−$177Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? · Noclosed−$174Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 26? · Noclosed−$169Will Bohemians Dublin FC win on 2026-10-02? · Noclosed−$150

Open positions · 35

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes30894¢93¢$286−$3.08$0
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No19797.1¢99.9¢$197+$5.51$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No19997¢97.6¢$194+$1.19$0
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?No20196.2¢95.8¢$192−$0.90$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?No19997.2¢95.7¢$190−$2.98$0
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?No19294¢94.5¢$182+$0.87$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 13?No18796.3¢94.3¢$176−$3.83$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 13?No18295.1¢93.1¢$169−$3.72$0
Will Trump say "Healthcare" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Yes17196.4¢94.5¢$161−$3.33$0
Will Jan Hušbauer be the next Mayor of Prague?No15597¢99.9¢$154+$4.41$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No15596.6¢98¢$152+$2.17$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No11994.5¢99.6¢$118+$6.06$0
Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?No10194.7¢98.1¢$99+$3.40$0
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No7897.5¢100¢$78+$1.89$0
Zuffa Boxing 11: Hughes vs. Stephenson (Light Heavyweight, Main)Hughes12852¢52.5¢$67+$0.57$0
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?No6696.8¢99.8¢$66+$1.98$0
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No6594¢95.5¢$62+$0.94$0
Will "East of Eden" be the top US Netflix show this week?No5997.5¢99.8¢$58+$1.32$0
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes10496¢52.7¢$55−$45$0
Will Matouš Pelikán be the next Mayor of Olomouc?No5297¢97.4¢$51+$0.21$0
AWS service disrupted by November 30?No8158.8¢51¢$41−$6.32$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes4495.7¢83.4¢$37−$5.39$0
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No3497.1¢99.8¢$34+$0.90$0
AWS service disrupted by November 30?Yes6158.7¢49¢$30−$5.89$0
Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?No4163¢66.5¢$27+$1.42$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 13?No2697.5¢100¢$26+$0.65$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No2598.4¢100¢$25+$0.38$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 14?No2598.4¢98.2¢$25−$0.06$0
Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?No2085.5¢97.9¢$20+$2.51$0
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No1995.9¢95.3¢$18−$0.11$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?No1467¢100¢$14+$4.68$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes1187¢92.5¢$10+$0.61$0
Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?Yes2046¢33.5¢$6.79−$2.54$0
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes596¢99.8¢$5.30+$0.20$0
Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Yes4017.8¢2.2¢$0.87−$6.34$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 11?94.8¢10$9.5264%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12?25¢38$9.5264%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?30.9¢31$9.5264%41
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12?51¢19$9.5264%41
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?56¢17$9.5264%41
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 12?55¢17$9.5264%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?31.8¢30$9.5264%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?13.5¢28$3.7864%41
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 12?63.6¢15$9.5264%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 12?23¢33$7.5664%41
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 12?37¢26$9.5264%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 12?9.8¢25$2.4564%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 12?14¢25$3.5064%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 10?6.6¢102$6.7864%41
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 11?95.1¢10$9.5264%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?17¢28$4.6864%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?34¢28$9.5264%41
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?20¢48$9.5264%41
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 11?53¢18$9.5264%41
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 11?59¢16$9.5264%41