PnL all-time+$5,763vol $291k
PnL 30d+$500gains $1,630 · losses $1,260
PnL 7d+$185win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate54.8%adj 54.6% · 30d 51.4%
Open value$595cash n/a
Positions6 / 506open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.9%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 20h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$6,266below peak −$103Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 54.8% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,779Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? · Yesclosed+$491Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yesclosed+$330Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yesclosed+$282Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Upclosed+$233
Worst markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yesopen−$625Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Downclosed−$220Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Downclosed−$206Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Upclosed−$199Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Downclosed−$162
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague? | Yes | 263 | 49.1¢ | 93¢ | $245 | +$116 | +$95 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 200 | 62.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $123 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | $95 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 636 | 18.7¢ | 14.5¢ | $92 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 2,500 | 6.1¢ | 0.9¢ | $21 | −$131 | −$493 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 40 | 46.3¢ | 45.1¢ | $18 | −$0.50 | $0 |
Recent trades
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