sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,520

Whimsical-Pawnshop

0x92f…94ce
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,243vol $130k
PnL 30d+$912gains $812 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$580win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate90.0%adj 70.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$32.6kcash n/a
Positions2 / 22open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.8%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,728below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 90.0% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Noopen+$1,421Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$1,083Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? · Noclosed+$511Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Noclosed+$432Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Noclosed+$429

Worst markets

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · Noclosed−$22MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$5.17

Open positions · 2

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No21.7k88.9¢95.5¢$20.7k+$1,421+$0.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No12.8k92¢92.5¢$11.9k+$64$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?92¢4,867$4,47890%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?92¢7,842$7,21490%45
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?98.5¢12.0k$11.8k90%45Whale
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?97.8¢4,853$4,74690%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?97.7¢20$2090%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?97.7¢263$25790%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?97.6¢6$5.4790%45
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?94¢406$38190%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?94¢6,677$6,27790%45
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?99.4¢6,315$6,27790%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?91¢176$16090%45
SELL NoWill at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?99.7¢161$16090%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?97.4¢1,083$1,05590%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?97.3¢224$21890%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?97.3¢21$2190%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?97.3¢29$2990%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?97.3¢228$22290%45
SELL NoWill at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?99.8¢222$22290%45
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?91¢4,175$3,79990%45
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?99.5¢3,818$3,79990%45