PnL all-time−$136vol $121k
PnL 30d+$4.75gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$4.59win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.0%adj 52.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,946cash n/a
Positions3 / 23open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.6%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$132below peak −$73Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff? · Yesclosed+$35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Downclosed+$6.99Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$5.50Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? · Yesclosed+$4.64Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noopen+$4.50
Worst markets
Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference? · Yesclosed−$762024 August hottest on record? · Noclosed−$74Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesclosed−$18Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference? · Yesclosed−$7.35Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed−$7.00
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2,996 | 97.3¢ | 97.5¢ | $2,919 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 27 | 91¢ | 97.1¢ | $27 | +$1.66 | $0 | |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | 27 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | $0 |
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