PnL all-time+$113kvol $19.6M
PnL 30d+$1,773gains $910 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$642win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.8%adj 70.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$90.6kcash n/a
Positions2 / 313open / all-time
Max drawdown−82.8%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$117kbelow peak −$49.7kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 71.8% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity17
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$154kIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$22.4kIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$7,208Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Noclosed+$5,422Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? · Noclosed+$5,296
Worst markets
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? · Noclosed−$32.6kWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Noclosed−$32.4kWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? · Noclosed−$20.0kStarmer out by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$16.9kWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? · Yesclosed−$15.3k
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 50.0k | 98¢ | 99.6¢ | $49.8k | +$758 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 41.4k | 98.2¢ | 98.6¢ | $40.8k | +$128 | $0 |
Recent trades
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