| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 6,000 | 91¢ | 91.5¢ | $5,490 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 6,857 | 68.6¢ | 64.5¢ | $4,423 | −$281 | $0 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 4,766 | 82.9¢ | 83¢ | $3,956 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4,500 | 83¢ | 84.5¢ | $3,803 | +$67 | −$309 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 3,854 | 83.1¢ | 84.5¢ | $3,257 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | No | 3,300 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $3,152 | +$116 | $0 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 3,333 | 89¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,016 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 3,920 | 68.3¢ | 72.1¢ | $2,825 | +$148 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 4,500 | 64.6¢ | 62.5¢ | $2,812 | −$92 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 4,699 | 66.1¢ | 57.5¢ | $2,702 | −$403 | −$188 | |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,013 | 77.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $2,455 | +$112 | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2,474 | 89.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,313 | +$101 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 64.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,875 | −$65 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 1,976 | 89¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,768 | +$9.88 | −$240 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | No | 2,113 | 71.2¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,743 | +$239 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 2,318 | 75.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,704 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 2,003 | 79¢ | 85¢ | $1,703 | +$120 | $0 | |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | No | 2,066 | 59¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,477 | +$258 | −$9.53 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2,143 | 70¢ | 53.5¢ | $1,146 | −$354 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,198 | 44.9¢ | 52.1¢ | $1,145 | +$158 | +$2,078 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 1,136 | 68¢ | 73.5¢ | $835 | +$63 | −$0.55 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 1,012 | 46¢ | 67¢ | $678 | +$212 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 995 | 65.1¢ | 67.5¢ | $671 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 897 | 78¢ | 74.5¢ | $669 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,562 | 16.2¢ | 23.5¢ | $602 | +$186 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,500 | 33¢ | 38.5¢ | $578 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 654 | 90¢ | 86.5¢ | $566 | −$23 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,500 | 21¢ | 22.5¢ | $563 | +$38 | −$170 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 2,150 | 41.2¢ | 25.5¢ | $548 | −$337 | +$161 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 860 | 36¢ | 43.5¢ | $374 | +$64 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 2,558 | 15.4¢ | 14.5¢ | $371 | −$22 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | Yes | 1,020 | 35.9¢ | 35.5¢ | $362 | −$4.09 | $0 | |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 406 | 45¢ | 86.5¢ | $351 | +$168 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,336 | 56.3¢ | 24.5¢ | $327 | −$425 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 3,586 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | $269 | −$125 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | No | 268 | 87¢ | 98.7¢ | $264 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 318 | 45¢ | 72.1¢ | $229 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? | No | 277 | 77.9¢ | 81.3¢ | $225 | +$9.18 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? | Yes | 492 | 42¢ | 43.5¢ | $214 | +$7.38 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,500 | 17¢ | 8.5¢ | $212 | −$212 | −$44 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | Yes | 200 | 77.2¢ | 99.5¢ | $199 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | Yes | 494 | 35¢ | 39¢ | $193 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 196 | 81¢ | 84.5¢ | $165 | +$6.85 | −$269 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 15¢ | 4.9¢ | $147 | −$303 | $0 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? | No | 142 | 82.2¢ | 97.4¢ | $138 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 146 | 77¢ | 80.5¢ | $117 | +$5.11 | −$36 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | No | 202 | 77.5¢ | 48¢ | $97 | −$60 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | Yes | 2,000 | 8¢ | 4.5¢ | $90 | −$70 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | No | 101 | 51.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $89 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 539 | 9.3¢ | 15.5¢ | $84 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 85 | 45.1¢ | 84¢ | $72 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 520 | 52.3¢ | 13.5¢ | $70 | −$202 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 649 | 22¢ | 10.5¢ | $68 | −$75 | +$280 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 572 | 12.9¢ | 10.5¢ | $60 | −$14 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 167 | 21¢ | 25¢ | $42 | +$6.69 | $0 | |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,290 | 1.6¢ | 1.2¢ | $38 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 38 | 87.1¢ | 86.5¢ | $33 | −$0.22 | −$330 | |
| Graham Platner divorce by October 31? | Yes | 600 | 7¢ | 4.2¢ | $25 | −$17 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 624 | 2.9¢ | 2.3¢ | $14 | −$3.55 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 73 | 33.3¢ | 18.5¢ | $13 | −$11 | +$236 | |
| Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 93¢ | 82.5¢ | $8.24 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,316 | 0.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $8.11 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election? | Yes | 10 | 77¢ | 76¢ | $7.60 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 20 | 30¢ | 33.5¢ | $6.72 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | Yes | 8 | 50¢ | 47.5¢ | $3.67 | −$0.19 | −$0.92 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 13.2k | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$587 | +$2,306 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | Yes | 10.1k | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$595 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 8,000 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$480 | $0 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3,976 | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$458 | $0 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3,693 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$628 | $0 | |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3,463 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | No | 2,809 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | $0 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | No | 2,039 | 72.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,485 | $0 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$580 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Alaska" this week? | No | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 960 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | No | 546 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$317 | −$5.32 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 278 | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 130 | 72.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94 | −$1,228 | |
| Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | Yes | 92 | 70.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$65 | −$0.76 | |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 25 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.75 | $0 | |
| Lions vs. Panthers | Lions | 19 | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | No | 11 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.34 | −$0.09 | |
| 1H Spread: Panthers (-4.5) | Panthers | 5 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
