Traders/Rank #1,803

smallreceipt

0x942…be27

PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$59.7kvol $4.18M

PnL 30d−$32.8kgains $2,897 · losses $972

PnL 7d+$12.2kwin rate 7d 38.8%

Win rate38.8%adj 39.4% · 30d 38.8%

Open value$692cash n/a

Positions2,000 / 43,340open / all-time

Max drawdown−44.6%of equity peak

Account age6molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$103kbelow peak −$68.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68

Adjusted win rateraw 38.8% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Noclosed+$442 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Noclosed+$396 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Noclosed+$286 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Noclosed+$178 Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Noclosed+$165

Worst markets

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? · Yesopen−$415 Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16? · Yesopen−$405 Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16? · Yesopen−$397 Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? · Yesopen−$360 Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 18 and May 24, 2026? · Yesopen−$356

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	905	1.6¢	0.4¢	$3.62	−$10	$0	13mo
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,033	2¢	0.2¢	$1.55	−$20	$0	ended
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2,520	2.1¢	0.1¢	$1.26	−$51	$0	23d 1h
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,224	1.1¢	0.1¢	$1.11	−$24	−$0.01	3mo
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,224	1.1¢	0.1¢	$1.11	−$24	−$0.01	22d 1h
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,224	1.1¢	0.1¢	$1.11	−$24	+$0.01	22d 1h
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,224	1.1¢	0.1¢	$1.11	−$24	$0	22d 1h
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,224	1.1¢	0.1¢	$1.11	−$24	$0	22d 1h
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,062	1.1¢	0.1¢	$1.03	−$22	+$0.04	22d 1h
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	1,587	2.6¢	0.1¢	$0.79	−$40	$0	19d 1h
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	1,587	2.6¢	0.1¢	$0.79	−$40	$0	19d 1h
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	1,587	2.6¢	0.1¢	$0.79	−$40	$0	19d 1h
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,479	1.3¢	0.1¢	$0.74	−$19	−$0.02	3mo
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,479	1.3¢	0.1¢	$0.74	−$19	−$0.02	3mo
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,479	1.3¢	0.1¢	$0.74	−$19	−$0.02	3mo
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,479	1.3¢	0.1¢	$0.74	−$19	−$0.02	3mo
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,479	1.3¢	0.1¢	$0.74	−$19	−$0.02	3mo
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,479	1.3¢	0.1¢	$0.74	−$19	−$0.01	3mo
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,479	1.3¢	0.1¢	$0.74	−$19	−$0.02	3mo
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,459	1.1¢	0.1¢	$0.73	−$16	−$0.21	3mo
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,449	1.3¢	0.1¢	$0.72	−$19	−$0.02	3mo
Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	1,361	3.3¢	0.1¢	$0.68	−$45	$0	51d 1h
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	1,332	3.7¢	0.1¢	$0.67	−$49	$0	4mo
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	427	2¢	0.2¢	$0.64	−$8.07	+$0.04	ended
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,226	1.3¢	0.1¢	$0.61	−$16	−$0.02	3mo
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,126	1.1¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$12	−$3.77	3mo
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,116	1.1¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$12	−$11	3mo
Will Santiago Rosendo Abarca León win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Flor de María Hurtado Valdez win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Samir Frank Quispe Caballero win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Segundo Valdez Zavala win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,114	2¢	0.1¢	$0.56	−$22	$0	ended
Will Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,094	2¢	0.1¢	$0.55	−$22	$0	ended
Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,093	2¢	0.1¢	$0.55	−$22	$0	ended
Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,093	2¢	0.1¢	$0.55	−$22	$0	ended
Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,093	2¢	0.1¢	$0.55	−$22	$0	ended
Will Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,093	2¢	0.1¢	$0.55	−$22	$0	ended
Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,033	2¢	0.1¢	$0.52	−$21	$0	ended
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	1,033	2¢	0.1¢	$0.52	−$21	$0	ended
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	509	6.7¢	0.1¢	$0.51	−$33	−$0.16	3mo
Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	905	1.6¢	0.1¢	$0.45	−$14	$0	13mo
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	905	1.6¢	0.1¢	$0.45	−$14	$0	13mo
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	905	1.6¢	0.1¢	$0.45	−$14	$0	13mo
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	836	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.42	−$36	$0	ended
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	836	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.42	−$36	$0	ended
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	836	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.42	−$36	$0	ended
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	810	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.41	−$35	$0	ended
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	810	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.41	−$35	$0	ended
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	810	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.41	−$35	$0	ended
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	770	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.39	−$33	$0	ended
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?	Yes	379	6.6¢	0.1¢	$0.38	−$25	−$0.16	3mo
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?	Yes	379	6.6¢	0.1¢	$0.38	−$25	−$0.17	3mo
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	730	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.37	−$31	$0	ended
Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	690	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.35	−$30	$0	ended
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	690	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.35	−$30	$0	ended
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	690	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.35	−$30	$0	ended
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	663	2¢	0.1¢	$0.33	−$13	$0	ended
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	590	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.30	−$25	$0	ended
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	590	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.30	−$25	$0	ended
Will Iñaki Williams (Athletic Club) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	577	1.5¢	0.1¢	$0.29	−$8.45	$0	8mo
Will Oihan Sancet (Athletic Club) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	510	1.5¢	0.1¢	$0.26	−$7.47	$0	8mo
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	485	3.2¢	0.1¢	$0.24	−$15	$0	51d 1h
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	470	4.3¢	0.1¢	$0.24	−$20	$0	ended
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	441	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.22	−$14	$0	22d 1h
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	441	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.22	−$14	$0	22d 1h
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	441	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.22	−$14	$0	22d 1h
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	441	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.22	−$14	$0	22d 1h
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	441	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.22	−$14	$0	22d 1h
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	441	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.22	−$14	$0	22d 1h
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	441	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.22	−$14	$0	22d 1h
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	441	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.22	−$14	$0	22d 1h
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	438	2¢	0.1¢	$0.22	−$8.69	−$0.24	ended
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	410	7.7¢	0.1¢	$0.20	−$31	$0	3mo
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	410	7.7¢	0.1¢	$0.20	−$31	$0	3mo
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	410	7.7¢	0.1¢	$0.20	−$31	$0	3mo
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	401	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.20	−$12	$0	22d 1h
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	401	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.20	−$12	$0	22d 1h
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	365	6.6¢	0.1¢	$0.18	−$24	−$0.16	3mo
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	361	3.1¢	0.1¢	$0.18	−$11	$0	22d 1h
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,254	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,254	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,044	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,044	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,044	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,044	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,044	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,044	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,044	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,014	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,014	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,014	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,014	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,014	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,014	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	9,014	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	−$106	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
2h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 9?	0.1¢	1	$0	39%	54
2h ago	SELL Yes	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have fewer than 30 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	0.1¢	19	$0.02	39%	54
3h ago	SELL Yes	Will Omonia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	0.1¢	40	$0.04	39%	54
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 270 and 299 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	1.1¢	2	$0.03	39%	54
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 30% or more?	5¢	20	$1.02	39%	54
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 9?	0.4¢	1	$0.01	39%	54
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on October 9?	0.2¢	53	$0.11	39%	54
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 9?	0.2¢	53	$0.11	39%	54
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on October 9?	0.4¢	43	$0.17	39%	54
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	0.6¢	4	$0.02	39%	54
5h ago	SELL Yes	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	98.6¢	0	$0.38	39%	54
5h ago	SELL Yes	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	0.1¢	0	$0	39%	54
6h ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 9?	0.2¢	1	$0	39%	54
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 150 and 179 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	18.6¢	2	$0.45	39%	54
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Lillestrom win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	0.1¢	40	$0.04	39%	54
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Lech Poznan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	0.1¢	40	$0.04	39%	54
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Viktoria Plzen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	0.2¢	40	$0.08	39%	54
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Hapoel Be'er Sheva win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	0.1¢	40	$0.04	39%	54
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will OFI win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	0.1¢	40	$0.04	39%	54
7h ago	SELL Yes	Will Levski Sofia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	0.1¢	40	$0.04	39%	54