sharpside
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0x7a6a1abd

0x944…48fb
CulturePoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$156vol $6,322
PnL 30d−$265gains $22 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$130win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 52.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,388cash n/a
Positions43 / 48open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.4%of equity peak
Account age41dlast trade 24d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$227below peak −$368Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

16/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d17
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Drake release a new album by December 31? · Noopen+$91Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yesopen+$44Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Noopen+$39Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Noopen+$34Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Noopen+$25

Worst markets

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$164Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yesopen−$72Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election? · Yesopen−$62Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yesopen−$53Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Noopen−$48

Open positions · 39

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No38084.7¢85¢$323+$1.16−$0.85
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No29785¢93.5¢$278+$25$0
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No20279.5¢96.6¢$195+$34$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No20183.8¢86.5¢$173+$5.44$0
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?No19938.5¢84.5¢$168+$91$0
Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No16970.2¢93.5¢$158+$39$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes20049.9¢61.5¢$123+$23$0
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes31939.3¢32.5¢$104−$22$0
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes20043.4¢48.5¢$97+$10$0
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No19371.5¢49.5¢$96−$43$0
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?No9686.4¢92.5¢$88+$5.79$0
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes18915.6¢39¢$74+$44$0
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No17537.9¢40¢$70+$3.69$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes40056.5¢15.5¢$62−$164$0
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No4470¢90.8¢$40+$9.20$0
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?No16720.9¢23.5¢$39+$4.26$0
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?No15626.6¢23.5¢$37−$4.83$0
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes19913¢15.5¢$31+$4.89$0
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes19715.3¢14¢$28−$2.64$0
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes12414.3¢17¢$21+$3.29$0
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?No3350¢64¢$21+$4.57$0
Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Yes1967.8¢10.3¢$20+$4.71$0
Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?No3458.9¢58.5¢$20−$0.16$0
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?No7523¢24.5¢$18+$1.13$0
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes15038¢9.5¢$14−$43$0
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Yes7411¢18.5¢$14+$5.58$0
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Yes19533.1¢6.3¢$12−$53$0
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?No1553¢75.5¢$11+$3.27$0
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No4673.2¢21.5¢$9.89−$24$0
Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes1153.6¢80¢$8.92+$2.94$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?Yes1927.7¢43.5¢$8.28+$3.01$0
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes6710¢7.5¢$5.04−$1.68$0
Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?Yes1834.6¢25.5¢$4.48−$1.61$0
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes530¢78.5¢$3.92+$2.42$0
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?No20125.9¢1.9¢$3.82−$48$0
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No468¢67.5¢$2.78−$0.02$0
Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes373.9¢7.5¢$2.77+$1.33$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Yes14911¢1.5¢$2.24−$14$0
Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes5320.4¢4¢$2.14−$8.78$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?39¢72$2860%16
BUY NoWill Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?37.1¢51$1960%16
BUY NoWill Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?37.1¢52$1960%16
BUY NoWill "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?29¢81$2360%16
BUY NoWill Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?22.7¢87$2060%16
BUY NoWill Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?19¢80$1560%16
BUY YesWill Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?9.2¢14$1.3260%16
BUY NoWill FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?81.3¢64$5260%16
BUY NoWill FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?81.7¢115$9460%16
BUY YesWill the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?20.4¢5$1.0560%16
BUY YesWill the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?20.3¢9$1.8960%16
BUY YesWill the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?20.3¢38$7.7760%16
BUY NoWill Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?58.7¢32$1960%16
BUY NoWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?57¢5$2.8560%16
BUY NoWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?57¢19$1160%16
BUY NoWill Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?88¢37$3360%16
BUY NoWill "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?24¢75$1860%16
BUY NoWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?56¢22$1260%16
BUY NoWill Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?68¢4$2.8060%16
BUY NoWill The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?74¢21$1660%16