sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,556

Railcool

0x94c…43ca
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$122kvol $3.34M
PnL 30d+$9,123gains $136k · losses $7,877
PnL 7d+$8,410win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 72.0% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$116kcash n/a
Positions99 / 244open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.1%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 18d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$144kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d40
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 99

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Yes15.4k41.8¢100¢$15.4k+$8,983−$275
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No20.0k55¢61.5¢$12.3k+$1,300$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes30.0k27¢37.5¢$11.3k+$3,150$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes14.5k34.7¢61.5¢$8,922+$3,883+$3,518
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20.0k36.1¢41.3¢$8,250+$1,030+$180
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes50.0k14¢15.5¢$7,750+$750$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes325k1¢2¢$6,329+$3,083$0
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?Under5,58165¢100¢$5,581+$1,951−$212
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?Over4,23968.2¢100¢$4,239+$1,348$0
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?Linke3,96570¢100¢$3,965+$1,190$0
Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?Under3,96351¢100¢$3,963+$1,942$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes15.0k20¢25.5¢$3,825+$825$0
Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Yes3,00063.5¢100¢$3,000+$1,096−$24
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes10.0k31¢28.5¢$2,861−$251$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No15.0k13¢14.5¢$2,175+$225$0
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes2,00086¢100¢$2,000+$281−$1.45
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes1,69843.8¢100¢$1,698+$955−$96
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No5,05531¢28.5¢$1,441−$127$0
Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?AfD1,37569¢100¢$1,375+$426−$9.71
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes1,61761.9¢77¢$1,245+$245+$28
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Yes1,11337.9¢100¢$1,113+$691−$86
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No1,05676¢98¢$1,034+$232$0
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Yes93317.8¢100¢$933+$767−$4.30
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No2,25026¢38.5¢$866+$281$0
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Under77620.9¢100¢$776+$614−$5.12
Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?No72176¢100¢$721+$173$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No1,14839¢44.5¢$511+$63$0
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No50081¢93.2¢$466+$61$0
Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?Yes45122.9¢100¢$451+$348−$0.45
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes66039¢44.5¢$294+$36$0
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Under22076¢100¢$220+$53−$4.80
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes48923¢24.5¢$120+$7.33$0
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No12428.4¢92¢$114+$79$0
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?Yes1,98915¢5.5¢$109−$189$0
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?Grüne10574¢100¢$105+$27$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes11.0k2¢0.9¢$94−$124$0
Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Yes3029.5¢100¢$30+$21−$0.13
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?Yes10795¢19.5¢$21−$81−$11.5k
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?Over265¢100¢$2.00+$0.70$0
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes67.0k23.3¢0¢$0−$15.6k−$199
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes33.8k23.7¢0¢$0−$8,006−$3,778
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes33.0k47.8¢0¢$0−$15.8k−$12.3k
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes26.4k14.8¢0¢$0−$3,902−$1.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No23.2k35.6¢0¢$0−$8,239$0
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Yes22.8k6.4¢0¢$0−$1,457−$51
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes20.2k34.1¢0¢$0−$6,888−$26
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No18.6k55.7¢0¢$0−$10.3k−$126
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Yes16.7k42.1¢0¢$0−$7,006−$47
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes15.8k76.2¢0¢$0−$12.0k$0
Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes13.2k39.8¢0¢$0−$5,264−$91
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes12.7k70.8¢0¢$0−$8,970−$1,364
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes11.1k38.4¢0¢$0−$4,284+$8.86
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes10.9k29.6¢0¢$0−$3,226−$72
Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?Yes10.5k3.8¢0¢$0−$397−$0.85
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes10.2k28¢0¢$0−$2,871−$1,690
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No9,56351¢0¢$0−$4,877$0
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?Yes9,0005.5¢0¢$0−$495−$19
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No8,63581.1¢0¢$0−$7,003$0
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Yes7,62211.7¢0¢$0−$889+$27
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes6,97820.1¢0¢$0−$1,404$0
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes6,33034.5¢0¢$0−$2,182−$9.37
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?Yes5,86315¢0¢$0−$879$0
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes5,19736.8¢0¢$0−$1,914$0
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?No5,07119.2¢0¢$0−$973−$8.57
Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes5,01016¢0¢$0−$800+$0.03
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes4,75843.9¢0¢$0−$2,090−$47
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes3,85414¢0¢$0−$540$0
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes3,27919¢0¢$0−$625+$594
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes3,2429.8¢0¢$0−$317−$1.86
Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Yes3,14349.5¢0¢$0−$1,557−$30
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes2,56042¢0¢$0−$1,075−$0.58
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes2,26939¢0¢$0−$884−$3.32
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes2,08214¢0¢$0−$292$0
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes2,08014.1¢0¢$0−$294−$0.13
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No1,85540.3¢0¢$0−$748−$16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No1,53151¢0¢$0−$781$0
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?No1,45078.7¢0¢$0−$1,141$0
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes1,42819.7¢0¢$0−$281−$0.74
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes1,27231.4¢0¢$0−$399−$11
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No73581¢0¢$0−$595$0
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes73256¢0¢$0−$410−$2.73
Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes6468.7¢0¢$0−$56−$1.63
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?Over56468¢0¢$0−$383$0
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes4971.9¢0¢$0−$9.60−$0.47
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?Yes49758.4¢0¢$0−$290−$4.28
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes48359¢0¢$0−$285$0
Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Yes38737¢0¢$0−$143+$4.16
Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes37610¢0¢$0−$38−$0.24
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?Yes36738¢0¢$0−$139$0
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes3194.4¢0¢$0−$14−$0.19
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?BSW27720.4¢0¢$0−$56−$1.13
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes25761¢0¢$0−$157$0
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?Yes15921¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes11449¢0¢$0−$56−$1.14
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?AfD800¢0¢$0$0$0
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Yes6013¢0¢$0−$7.80−$0.05
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes5317¢0¢$0−$9.01$0
Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Yes4715¢0¢$0−$7.05$0
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes1256¢0¢$0−$6.57$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?55¢20.0k$11.0k75%66Whale
BUY NoWill AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?11.7¢34$3.9675%66
BUY YesWill AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?13¢10$1.3075%66
BUY NoWill AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?12.8¢1,343$17275%66
SELL OverMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?10¢43$4.3275%66
SELL YesWill BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?10.2¢117$1275%66
BUY NoWill AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?21¢365$7775%66
BUY YesWill BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?43.8¢19$8.2575%66
BUY YesWill BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?39.8¢50$2075%66
SELL OverMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?42¢0$0.0375%66
BUY OverMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?38¢5$1.9075%66
SELL YesWill SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?7.2¢68$4.8775%66
BUY YesWill AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?9.8¢69$6.7675%66
BUY YesWill Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?61.9¢1,702$1,05475%66
BUY YesWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?62¢164$10275%66
BUY YesWill Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?59¢12$6.9275%66
BUY YesWill Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?46.9¢50$2375%66
BUY YesWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?87.2¢1,286$1,12275%66
BUY YesWill AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?85.8¢297$25575%66
BUY YesWill AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?28.2¢16$4.5175%66