sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

inno

0x94d…37e6
1y+SportOtherCultureCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,296vol $547k
PnL 30d−$157gains $292 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$92win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate52.1%adj 52.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,421cash n/a
Positions130 / 1,250open / all-time
Max drawdown−64.4%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 24d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,801below peak −$792Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 52.1% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d18
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity36

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes68043.5¢75.5¢$514+$217−$9.51
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes50082¢97.1¢$485+$75$0
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?No5008.3¢94.1¢$470+$429+$304
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes40988¢95.7¢$391+$31$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes42956.8¢81.5¢$349+$106$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes79150.7¢41.5¢$328−$73$0
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes54645.8¢49.5¢$270+$20$0
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?No25071.2¢94.5¢$236+$58$0
Tabi FDV above $250M one day after launch?No24453.3¢92.5¢$226+$96$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Yes38957.2¢53.5¢$208−$14+$4.23
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes21960.8¢95¢$208+$75$0
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes12377.2¢95.7¢$118+$23$0
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?Yes14668.4¢78.5¢$115+$15$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes14328.2¢76¢$109+$68$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes15348.9¢35¢$54−$21$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?Yes11528.6¢36¢$42+$8.50$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No14610.3¢26.5¢$39+$24$0
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?No5937¢61¢$36+$14$0
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?Yes7042.5¢49.5¢$35+$4.91$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?Yes25228.8¢12.5¢$31−$41$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes6422.7¢46.5¢$30+$15$0
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Yes15922¢15.5¢$25−$10$0
Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?Yes11513¢20¢$23+$8.08$0
Extended listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?Yes4045¢53¢$21+$3.20$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Yes14326.1¢13.5¢$19−$18$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes3645.7¢5.2¢$19−$1.82−$4.48
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes1211¢67.5¢$8.08+$6.76$0
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes1819.8¢3.3¢$5.96−$12$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI7028.6¢4.7¢$3.31−$17$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes205.1¢6.9¢$1.34+$0.34$0
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes4511.1¢2.5¢$1.11−$3.89$0
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?Yes1,1005¢0¢$0−$55−$1.57
Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5170.6¢0¢$0−$3.10−$0.09
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by September 30?Yes3916.4¢0¢$0−$25−$0.94
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Yes3772.7¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.39
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?No3679¢0¢$0−$33−$1.20
Pikachu ex Price Over/Under $1,093.18 on August 31?Over35314.2¢0¢$0−$50−$2.15
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by August 31?Yes30024¢0¢$0−$72+$10
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes2687.5¢0¢$0−$20−$0.93
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by September 30?No25738.9¢0¢$0−$100−$2.44
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Yes2318.1¢0¢$0−$19+$41
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Yes23023¢0¢$0−$53−$1.22
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026?Yes22557.8¢0¢$0−$130−$2.16
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2236.7¢0¢$0−$15−$0.30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes2212.5¢0¢$0−$5.50$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes22113.6¢0¢$0−$30−$1.04
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $12B by September 30?No21555.9¢0¢$0−$120−$2.12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?Yes21120.3¢0¢$0−$43−$1.37
Will Ruben Amorim be the next manager of SSC Napoli?Yes2081¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.06
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?Yes20050.6¢0¢$0−$101−$1.84
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?Yes19518¢0¢$0−$35−$1.44
Will Chris Hemsworth appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?Yes19449.2¢0¢$0−$95−$2.39
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?No1911.1¢0¢$0−$2.10−$0.06
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes18368.1¢0¢$0−$125−$2.11
Will Julian Alvarez score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No17125.1¢0¢$0−$43−$0.97
Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsYes16712¢0¢$0−$20−$0.53
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?No16518.2¢0¢$0−$30−$1.23
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30?No16078¢0¢$0−$125−$1.10
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by August 31?No16091.4¢0¢$0−$146−$0.50
Will Maurizio Sarri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?Yes15011¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by September 30?No14951¢0¢$0−$76−$1.49
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1452¢0¢$0−$2.89−$0.06
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by July 31?Yes1425.6¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.30
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No13467¢0¢$0−$90−$1.19
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes1317.7¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.37
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by June 30?No12936.7¢0¢$0−$47−$0.75
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?Yes12512¢0¢$0−$15−$0.40
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes11921¢0¢$0−$25−$0.79
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No11730¢0¢$0−$35−$0.98
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Yes11632.8¢0¢$0−$38−$1.02
Will "Son" be said during the next Avengers: Doomsday trailer?Yes1159¢0¢$0−$10$0
Perfect Order Booster Box Price Over/Under $165.41 on August 31?Under11140.6¢0¢$0−$45−$1.34
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes11041¢0¢$0−$45−$1.06
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by September 30?Yes10851¢0¢$0−$55−$1.08
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by August 31?No10538.9¢0¢$0−$41−$0.58
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?Yes10332¢0¢$0−$33−$0.90
Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,277.63 on August 31?Over10214.7¢0¢$0−$15−$0.64
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes10264¢0¢$0−$65−$0.94
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?No10014.5¢0¢$0−$15−$3.13
Will Xavi Hernandez be the next manager of AC Milan?Yes1003¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by July 31?Yes10045¢0¢$0−$45−$0.99
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?No10017¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No9840.9¢0¢$0−$40−$1.57
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?No9369.6¢0¢$0−$65$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by September 30?No8826.1¢0¢$0−$23−$0.68
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsYes878¢0¢$0−$6.94$0
Will the announcers say "Suspension" or "Suspended" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No8621¢0¢$0−$18−$0.57
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?Missed8224.5¢0¢$0−$20−$0.28
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes805¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?No7957¢0¢$0−$45−$0.97
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by August 31?No7919¢0¢$0−$15−$0.49
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 6.5 CornersOver7553¢0¢$0−$40−$0.56
Bulbasaur Price Over/Under $28.95 on August 31?Over7549.3¢0¢$0−$37−$0.88
Will the announcers say "Dortmund" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?No7326¢0¢$0−$19−$0.56
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsYes717¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Will "Mutant" be said during the next Avengers: Doomsday trailer?Yes7120¢0¢$0−$14−$0.45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes673¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.08
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes6630.4¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes6315.9¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.34
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes6327¢0¢$0−$17−$0.50

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?37¢270$10052%46
BUY NoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by September 30?69¢51$3552%46
BUY NoWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $205B by September 30?94.6¢111$10552%46
BUY YesWill Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?54.5¢275$15052%46
BUY YesWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by September 30?6.4¢391$2552%46
BUY YesWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by September 30?9.8¢51$5.0052%46
BUY NoWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $135B by September 30?68.3¢51$3552%46
BUY NoWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $195B by September 30?75¢207$15552%46
BUY NoWill Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $12B by September 30?55.9¢215$12052%46
BUY YesOver $5M committed to the Ethos public sale?58¢21$1252%46
BUY NoWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by September 30?26.2¢31$8.0052%46
BUY NoWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by September 30?47.3¢21$1052%46
BUY NoWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by September 30?26¢58$1552%46
BUY NoWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by September 30?51¢116$5952%46
SELL YesWill Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by August 31?48.6¢54$2652%46
BUY NoWill Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by September 30?51¢149$7652%46
BUY YesWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by September 30?51¢108$5552%46
BUY YesWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by September 30?50.2¢122$6152%46
BUY YesWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by September 30?61.3¢82$5052%46
BUY YesWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.25B by September 30?79.5¢113$9052%46