sharpside
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0x94d…bc47

0x94d…bc47
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Polymarket
PnL all-time−$40vol $47.4k
PnL 30d−$135gains $974 · losses $86
PnL 7d−$78win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate51.4%adj 51.2% · 30d 62.1%
Open value$2,299cash n/a
Positions115 / 220open / all-time
Max drawdown−64.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$394below peak −$418Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.4% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity36

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?No1,53575¢79.5¢$1,220+$69$0
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No51382.4¢90.7¢$465+$43−$17
Will Ben Shelton Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Yes22594.8¢98.4¢$221+$8.16$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?No12088.9¢90.5¢$109+$1.96+$2.98
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No9887.3¢93.3¢$91+$5.89−$96
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes20617¢21.5¢$44+$9.27+$13
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No8051¢49¢$39−$1.60$0
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No3176.1¢90.5¢$28+$4.46−$54
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No2175¢93.5¢$20+$3.88$0
Will UConn win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?No2088.8¢97¢$19+$1.63+$1.68
Will Oregon win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?No2094.9¢96.6¢$19+$0.33$0
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes9913¢18¢$18+$4.96−$278
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No491.1¢95.5¢$3.72+$0.17+$22
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?No189¢90¢$0.90+$0.01−$0.51
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?Yes84638.2¢0¢$0−$323+$5.51
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes6797.6¢0¢$0−$52−$1.91
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes62310.9¢0¢$0−$68−$2.41
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes57426.3¢0¢$0−$151−$4.38
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes52630.3¢0¢$0−$159−$4.40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31?Yes29313.8¢0¢$0−$40−$1.46
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?No27415.5¢0¢$0−$42−$1.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?Yes2693.8¢0¢$0−$10−$0.49
Will CF Monterrey vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?Yes19527.4¢0¢$0−$53−$1.93
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-26?Yes19410.4¢0¢$0−$20−$0.87
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?Yes18733.5¢0¢$0−$63−$1.78
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?Yes18316.4¢0¢$0−$30−$0.88
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?Yes1717.1¢0¢$0−$12−$0.52
Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes1709.4¢0¢$0−$16−$0.72
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-08-15?Yes16313¢0¢$0−$21−$0.92
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes16027¢0¢$0−$43−$1.50
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-08-14?Yes15620.8¢0¢$0−$32−$0.83
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?Yes1562.9¢0¢$0−$4.46−$0.22
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes15018.8¢0¢$0−$28−$0.95
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes15023.7¢0¢$0−$36−$1.35
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?Yes1416¢0¢$0−$8.45−$0.36
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?Yes1290¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?Yes12427.8¢0¢$0−$34−$1.24
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?Yes11823.7¢0¢$0−$28−$1.07
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-30?Yes1069.1¢0¢$0−$9.61−$0.43
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?No10513.9¢0¢$0−$15+$0.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?Yes10518.4¢0¢$0−$19−$0.37
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Yes1020¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?No907.2¢0¢$0−$6.50−$0.24
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?Yes8014¢0¢$0−$11−$0.48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?Yes7417.3¢0¢$0−$13−$0.43
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Yes745.3¢0¢$0−$3.93−$0.19
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?Yes746.4¢0¢$0−$4.73−$0.22
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-05?Yes7116.5¢0¢$0−$12−$0.49
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-08-29?Yes686.2¢0¢$0−$4.26−$0.20
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes6529.1¢0¢$0−$19−$0.48
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-09-13?Yes5827.2¢0¢$0−$16−$0.57
Will San Diego FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?Yes5830.2¢0¢$0−$17−$0.93
Will AC Milan vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?Yes5416¢0¢$0−$8.60−$0.36
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-28?Yes545¢0¢$0−$2.69−$0.13
Will Levante UD win on 2026-08-16?Yes538¢0¢$0−$4.21−$0.19
Will Al Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club end in a draw?Yes5212¢0¢$0−$6.25−$0.28
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-09-08?Yes522¢0¢$0−$1.04−$0.05
Will Venezia FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?Yes5216¢0¢$0−$8.33−$0.35
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15?Yes527¢0¢$0−$3.64−$1.43
Will AEK vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?Yes525¢0¢$0−$2.60−$0.12
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-23?Yes5258¢0¢$0−$30−$0.63
Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-30?Yes522.7¢0¢$0−$1.40−$0.07
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?Yes521.8¢0¢$0−$0.93−$0.05
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-30?Yes5211¢0¢$0−$5.67−$0.25
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?Yes5229¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10?Yes524¢0¢$0−$2.06−$0.10
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?Yes522¢0¢$0−$1.03−$0.05
Will Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?Yes529¢0¢$0−$4.64−$0.21
Will Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?Yes5226¢0¢$0−$13−$0.50
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupBNK FEARX5039¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes4032¢0¢$0−$13−$0.16
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?Yes3915.9¢0¢$0−$6.24−$0.29
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?Yes3951¢0¢$0−$20−$0.49
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes3919.9¢0¢$0−$7.76−$0.31
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes3919.6¢0¢$0−$7.64−$0.30
Will Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?Yes3610.8¢0¢$0−$3.87−$0.17
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?Yes367.2¢0¢$0−$2.59−$0.11
Will England vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes3438.8¢0¢$0−$13−$0.24
Will England win on 2026-09-26?Yes3426.7¢0¢$0−$8.94−$0.80
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-09-05?Yes337¢0¢$0−$2.33−$0.11
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?Yes3120¢0¢$0−$6.27−$0.25
US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda NoskovaMarta Kostyuk2724¢0¢$0−$6.40−$0.24
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?Yes279.5¢0¢$0−$2.53−$0.11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?Yes2713¢0¢$0−$3.47−$0.15
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes259.7¢0¢$0−$2.40−$0.09
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes2516¢0¢$0−$3.96−$0.13
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes2512¢0¢$0−$2.97−$0.10
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes2522.9¢0¢$0−$5.67−$0.17
Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes258.9¢0¢$0−$2.20−$0.08
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes2311.5¢0¢$0−$2.63−$0.12
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes2332.9¢0¢$0−$7.56−$0.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?Yes2115¢0¢$0−$3.10$0
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?Yes2021¢0¢$0−$4.20−$0.17
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-12?Yes2022.3¢0¢$0−$4.46−$3.78
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerCloud92038¢0¢$0−$7.60−$0.24
Will Georgia be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?No1562.3¢0¢$0−$9.35+$5.24
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?Yes1529¢0¢$0−$4.27−$0.15
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the September decision?Yes158¢0¢$0−$1.18−$0.05
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?Yes1517¢0¢$0−$2.48−$0.10
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?Yes1521¢0¢$0−$3.07−$0.12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?11¢73$8.0351%39
SELL NoWill Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?94.3¢206$19451%39
SELL YesWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?5.4¢20$1.0851%39
SELL NoWill the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?94.1¢15$1451%39
SELL NoWill the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?76¢20$1551%39
SELL NoWill Wisconsin win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?96.5¢43$4251%39
SELL YesWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?12.1¢20$2.4251%39
SELL YesWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?12.3¢60$7.3851%39
SELL YesWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?20¢78$1651%39
SELL YesWill Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?14¢13$1.7651%39
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?18¢13$2.2651%39
BUY YesWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?3¢13$0.3851%39
BUY YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?17¢21$3.5751%39
BUY YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?17¢42$7.1451%39
BUY YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?17¢42$7.1451%39
BUY YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?17¢30$5.1051%39
BUY YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?17¢71$1251%39
SELL NoWill the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?91¢43$3951%39
SELL YesWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?26.5¢29$7.6951%39
SELL YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?23.1¢204$4751%39