PnL all-time−$613vol $8.25M
PnL 30d+$3,808gains $3,492 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,115win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate93.8%adj 92.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$9,550cash n/a
Positions1 / 1,017open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$308below peak −$27.0kOct 11
SharpScore inputs
47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 93.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? · Yesclosed+$6,732Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yesclosed+$5,591US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Yesclosed+$5,260US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Noclosed+$3,836Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3? · Yesclosed+$3,315
Worst markets
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Noclosed−$16.6kWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · Yesclosed−$16.6kIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$13.7kKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$9,939Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yesclosed−$8,502
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 10.0k | 93¢ | 95.5¢ | $9,550 | +$250 | $0 |
Recent trades
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