sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,388

95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04

0x950…7b04
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$141kvol $60.6M
PnL 30d+$4,722gains $3,776 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,754win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate90.8%adj 89.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$412kcash n/a
Positions130 / 3,711open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.8%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$174kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 90.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No94.9k89.6¢97.9¢$92.8k+$7,862+$1,242
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No60.0k91.3¢99.5¢$59.7k+$4,863$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No36.4k50¢80.2¢$29.2k+$11.0k$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No28.1k88.2¢96.5¢$27.1k+$2,328$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No21.3k90¢97.5¢$20.8k+$1,607$0
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No14.1k95¢98.8¢$13.9k+$525$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No12.7k88.7¢97.6¢$12.4k+$1,122$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No11.8k94.9¢98.9¢$11.7k+$479$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No11.0k87.5¢96.7¢$10.6k+$1,017$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No9,37788.4¢96.7¢$9,068+$774$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No9,20184.9¢94.5¢$8,695+$886+$29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10,00088¢84.5¢$8,450−$350+$7.96
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes36.4k50¢19.9¢$7,220−$11.0k$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No10.2k67.3¢70.5¢$7,184+$323−$141
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No7,35884.6¢96.3¢$7,086+$863+$0.02
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No6,61693¢98.5¢$6,513+$360$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No5,35682.1¢95¢$5,089+$690$0
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No5,00053¢95.3¢$4,763+$2,113$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No3,96490.4¢97.2¢$3,853+$268+$0.19
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No3,36184¢97¢$3,259+$435+$147
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No3,21190.7¢98.2¢$3,153+$240+$970
EU dissolves before 2027?No3,15695.5¢98.8¢$3,117+$103$0
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No2,85497.9¢98.4¢$2,807+$14$0
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No2,40091.5¢98.8¢$2,370+$174$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No2,52378.9¢93.8¢$2,365+$375$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?No2,20085.6¢95.3¢$2,095+$213$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?No2,12391.1¢98.6¢$2,092+$158$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No2,07989.5¢96.2¢$2,000+$138$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?No2,00091.5¢97.4¢$1,947+$117$0
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,91892.5¢99.2¢$1,902+$127$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No2,00084.5¢94.5¢$1,890+$200$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?No1,90087.8¢96.1¢$1,826+$158$0
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No1,77579.3¢86.5¢$1,535+$128+$25
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?No1,45094.3¢97.3¢$1,410+$43$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No1,39486.8¢96.4¢$1,344+$134$0
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?No1,28683¢92.4¢$1,187+$121$0
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No1,14593.1¢96.8¢$1,108+$42$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1,08086¢96¢$1,036+$107$0
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?No1,01589.5¢98.6¢$1,001+$92$0
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00091¢99.3¢$993+$83$0
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00090¢98.9¢$989+$89$0
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00084¢98.9¢$989+$149$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00090¢97.5¢$975+$75$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No1,00093¢97.5¢$975+$45$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No1,00093¢97.4¢$974+$44$0
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No1,00091.5¢96.8¢$968+$53$0
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No97586¢96.9¢$944+$106$0
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No97190.6¢97.2¢$944+$64$0
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No97088.5¢96.9¢$939+$81$0
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?No95090¢98.8¢$938+$83$0
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?No84686¢96.4¢$815+$88$0
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No82791.4¢97¢$801+$46$0
Ebola pandemic in 2026?No80088.7¢97¢$776+$66$0
USD1 depeg by December 31?No80086.9¢94¢$752+$57$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No75295¢97.5¢$733+$19$0
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No60094.9¢99.7¢$598+$28$0
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?No58891.8¢96.2¢$566+$26$0
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?No56792.6¢97.2¢$551+$26$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes57071¢95.5¢$544+$139$0
Fed abolished before 2027?No50092¢98.5¢$493+$33$0
USDE depeg by December 31?No45491.5¢97.1¢$441+$25$0
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?No49989.2¢86.4¢$431−$14$0
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No35168.7¢97.9¢$343+$102$0
Obama federally charged before 2027?No33589.6¢95.7¢$320+$20$0
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?No36283.7¢86.5¢$313+$10$0
China coup attempt before 2027?No30092.1¢96.3¢$289+$13$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No30088¢95.5¢$287+$23$0
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No28887.9¢93.4¢$269+$16$0
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No27389¢96.8¢$264+$21+$20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?No26295.6¢98.6¢$258+$7.90$0
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?No26293¢97.4¢$255+$12$0
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No50082¢51¢$255−$155$0
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?No25392.9¢97.6¢$247+$12$0
Obama arrested before 2027?No25090.5¢98.4¢$246+$20$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No32566.5¢72¢$234+$18$0
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No24488¢93.9¢$229+$14$0
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No24892.3¢91.7¢$228−$1.49$0
Human moon landing in 2026?No22393¢98.6¢$220+$12$0
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?No20894¢96.4¢$200+$4.98$0
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?No19193¢98¢$187+$9.46$0
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No28368.6¢66¢$187−$7.33$0
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No18594¢99.9¢$185+$11$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?No18695¢98.7¢$184+$6.81$0
Will Trump nationalize elections?No17474.8¢90¢$156+$26$0
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?No16193.4¢97.1¢$156+$5.87$0
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?No14792.9¢98.4¢$144+$8.03$0
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No14190.3¢100¢$141+$14$0
100kt meteor strike in 2026?No13893¢96.3¢$133+$4.49$0
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No20868.6¢64¢$133−$9.53$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No20087.7¢63.7¢$127−$48$0
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No12987.8¢97¢$125+$12$0
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31?Yes26756.7¢42.5¢$114−$38$0
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No10088¢97.8¢$98+$9.80$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?No10093¢96.4¢$96+$3.36$0
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?No10089¢96.3¢$96+$7.30$0
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?No10672¢90¢$96+$19$0
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No10086¢95¢$95+$9.00$0
Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaNothing10076¢93.7¢$94+$18$0
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No9092.9¢99.6¢$90+$6.03$0
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?No8374¢85.5¢$71+$9.55$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?85¢165$14191%68
BUY NoWill Dusan Vlahovic join Bayern Munich?99.9¢175$17591%68
BUY NoWill Dusan Vlahovic join Chelsea?99.9¢186$18691%68
BUY NoWill Dusan Vlahovic join Napoli?99.9¢161$16191%68
BUY YesWill Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?65¢65$4391%68
BUY YesWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?99.9¢19.5k$19.5k91%68Whale
BUY NoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11?99.9¢1,000$99991%68
BUY YesWill "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?99¢836$82791%68
BUY NoJeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6?99.8¢40$4091%68
BUY NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 5?96.7¢5$4.8491%68
BUY NoWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in August?99¢10$9.6291%68
BUY YesWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?99.7¢20.3k$20.2k91%68Whale
BUY YesWill "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?98.7¢41$4091%68
BUY YesWill "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?98.4¢232$22991%68
BUY YesWill "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?97.2¢45$4491%68
BUY YesWill "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?97.9¢61$6091%68
BUY YesWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 105 mph?99¢5$4.9591%68
BUY YesWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 100 mph?99¢259$25691%68
BUY NoIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?99¢57$5791%68
BUY YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?99.9¢36$3691%68