PnL all-time−$5,063vol $138k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate87.0%adj 69.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,428cash n/a
Positions9 / 32open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$5,063below peak −$6,429Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
17/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.0% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? · Noopen−$2,867Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway? · Yesopen−$1,334Israel military action against Iran by Friday? · Noclosed−$1,130Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? · Noopen−$1,104Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? · Yesopen−$835
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 910 | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | $910 | +$74 | +$15 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 518 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $518 | +$62 | −$6.32 | |
| Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | 21.0k | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,892 | +$558 | |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | No | 12.3k | 27.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,371 | +$505 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | Yes | 1,774 | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$849 | +$14 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | No | 1,322 | 83.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,104 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15? | No | 569 | 72.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$412 | $0 | |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Yes | 509 | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$275 | $0 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | Yes | 358 | 75¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$269 | $0 |
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