sharpside
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Traders/Rank #895

Crock95

0x952…86cf
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$228kvol $5.95M
PnL 30d+$14.7kgains $17.7k · losses $2,311
PnL 7d−$2,006win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate62.6%adj 62.1% · 30d 86.8%
Open value$13.0kcash n/a
Positions36 / 536open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.6%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$231kbelow peak −$2,140Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 62.6% · shrunk toward 50%55
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No4,00080¢97.8¢$3,910+$710$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,00083.7¢85.7¢$2,569+$59$0
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No2,23293.9¢98.8¢$2,204+$109$0
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No2,00087¢96.6¢$1,932+$192$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes6035.8¢96.5¢$582+$547+$976
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No56059.6¢85.5¢$479+$145$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No47464¢85.5¢$405+$102$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,2318.1¢18¢$400+$220+$510
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,4054.6¢13.2¢$316+$206+$523
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,5003.1¢7.4¢$184+$106+$445
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes99813¢5¢$50−$80−$26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1789¢79.5¢$13−$1.58−$1.30
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?No23.8k1.1¢0¢$0−$251−$14
Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?No5,00014¢0¢$0−$699−$24
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No2,75428.3¢0¢$0−$781+$1,921
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes2,4488.8¢0¢$0−$215−$274
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes2,16211.3¢0¢$0−$244+$6,202
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes2,1434¢0¢$0−$85+$674
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes1,7530.4¢0¢$0−$7.01−$0.07
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes1,44412.6¢0¢$0−$181−$6.12
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes8101¢0¢$0−$8.10−$0.32
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes61950¢0¢$0−$309+$44
Wimbledon WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi OsakaDaria Kasatkina40016¢0¢$0−$64$0
US Open WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena RybakinaYulia Starodubtseva30012¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes3001.6¢0¢$0−$4.80−$0.13
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Yes21051.7¢0¢$0−$109−$2.10
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaMaja Chwalinska20318¢0¢$0−$37−$0.90
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovKaren Khachanov20019¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15010.7¢0¢$0−$16+$17
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes15011¢0¢$0−$17−$0.44
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas15026¢0¢$0−$39$0
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMarta Kostyuk5019¢0¢$0−$9.50−$0.23
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly OpelkaReilly Opelka5034¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes450.4¢0¢$0−$0.18$0
Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?No4135¢0¢$0−$14−$495
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes250¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.7¢324$27163%76Sharp
BUY NoWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?59.6¢560$33463%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?0.4¢2,000$8.0063%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?99¢1,949$1,92963%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?0.3¢2,052$7.0163%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?14.9¢3,000$44663%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?13¢2,500$32563%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?15¢2,500$37563%76Sharp
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?9¢543$4963%76Sharp
BUY NoWill SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?92¢5,000$4,60063%76Sharp
BUY NoWill LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?14¢5,000$69963%76Sharp
SELL YesWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?44.8¢7,391$3,31563%76Sharp
SELL YesWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?67.8¢1,791$1,21563%76Sharp
BUY YesRussia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?25¢800$20063%76Sharp
SELL NoWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?77¢376$29063%76Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?77.8¢15$1263%76Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?59¢7$4.3863%76Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?48.5¢407$19863%76Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?25.7¢580$14963%76Sharp
BUY NoWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?28.1¢6,716$1,88863%76Sharp