sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,306

4sales

0x953…267b
PoliticsCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$67vol $21.7k
PnL 30d+$234gains $1,210 · losses $1,453
PnL 7d−$34win rate 7d 90.9%
Win rate52.5%adj 52.3% · 30d 41.1%
Open value$602cash n/a
Positions37 / 237open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.6%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$199below peak −$248Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale26
Adjusted win rateraw 52.5% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?No28370.9¢88.5¢$250+$50$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No9420.5¢88.5¢$83+$64+$84
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No20246.6¢26¢$52−$42$0
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Yes12526.1¢41.7¢$52+$20$0
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes5084¢84.5¢$42+$0.25$0
Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?No6149¢60.3¢$37+$6.88−$2.35
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes4084.3¢73.7¢$29−$4.23−$2.19
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No2173¢94¢$19+$4.31+$2.00
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?No2373¢57¢$13−$3.68$0
Will Kenneth Walker III finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes2027¢47.5¢$9.50+$4.10$0
Will the Hanshin Tigers win the 2026 Japan Series?Yes1417.7¢28.1¢$3.94+$1.46$0
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?No997.3¢2.5¢$2.43−$4.79$0
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes247¢99.9¢$2.00+$1.06−$0.01
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No2733.6¢0.7¢$1.78−$8.01$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% in October?No184.7¢96.1¢$1.04+$0.12+$26
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No2008.3¢0.5¢$1.00−$16$0
Will Tyler Warren have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes912¢11¢$0.99−$0.09$0
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?No10016.8¢0.2¢$0.15−$17$0
Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes1111¢0.7¢$0.08−$1.13$0
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?No186¢0.4¢$0.07−$1.01$0
Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No376.5¢0.2¢$0.06−$2.38$0
Will "Doing Life" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes284.5¢0.2¢$0.04−$1.22+$0.02
Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes152.3¢0.3¢$0.04−$0.31$0
Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Yes2217¢0¢$0−$15−$0.72
Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?No1246.4¢0¢$0−$7.95+$1.97
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes1001.8¢0¢$0−$1.79+$2.64
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes1001¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?No9523.2¢0¢$0−$22−$0.68
Will the Green Party candidate win 40% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes688.6¢0¢$0−$5.86−$0.21
Will "Unabomber" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes414.8¢0¢$0−$1.97−$0.07
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?No362.1¢0¢$0−$0.76$0
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes3460¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will "The Breadwinner" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes200.2¢0¢$0−$0.04$0
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes151.1¢0¢$0−$0.17$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes1416.6¢0¢$0−$2.33−$12
Will JD Vance say "Social Security" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?No925¢0¢$0−$2.25−$0.07
Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?No918¢0¢$0−$1.62−$0.05

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Kenneth Walker III finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?27¢20$5.4053%56
SELL YesLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?82¢21$1753%56
SELL YesLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?82.1¢14$1153%56
SELL YesLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?82.1¢6$4.9353%56
SELL YesLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?82.1¢8$6.5753%56
SELL YesLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?82.1¢10$8.2153%56
SELL DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?95.2¢5$4.7653%56
SELL DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?95.1¢5$4.7653%56
SELL DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?95.2¢12$1153%56
SELL DownS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?95.2¢12$1153%56
SELL YesWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?0.1¢50$0.0653%56
SELL YesWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?1.4¢19$0.2653%56
SELL YesLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?82.1¢10$8.2153%56
BUY YesWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?17¢14$2.3853%56
BUY YesLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?85¢30$2553%56
BUY YesLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?85¢10$8.5053%56
BUY YesWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?16¢50$8.0053%56
BUY YesWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?18¢19$3.4253%56
BUY YesLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?84.7¢21$1853%56
BUY NoWill "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?10.8¢97$1053%56