sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

physical-geographer

0x957…d6a6
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+<14d old<30d oldWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$7,846vol $151k
PnL 30d−$4,963gains $16.9k · losses $602
PnL 7d−$4,515win rate 7d 89.3%
Win rate87.4%adj 82.6% · 30d 87.4%
Open value$29.0kcash n/a
Positions204 / 341open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age13dlast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$5,015below peak −$5,113Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?No5,12983¢88¢$4,514+$256$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12?No3,00973¢100¢$3,007+$811$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?No2,25456¢100¢$2,253+$991$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13?Yes3,59851¢40.5¢$1,457−$378−$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13?Yes3,01229¢45¢$1,355+$482+$118
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?No1,50259¢87¢$1,306+$420−$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 12?No1,27960¢100¢$1,279+$511$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 13?Yes3,46939¢33¢$1,145−$208$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 12?Yes1,05638¢99.7¢$1,052+$651$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 13?Yes3,88729¢23.5¢$913−$214$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13?No1,50454¢56.5¢$850+$38$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 12?Yes1,80044.4¢38.5¢$693−$107$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 12?No71862¢86.5¢$621+$176$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 12?No55358.3¢100¢$553+$231$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12?No1,03450.8¢45.5¢$470−$55$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 13?No91752¢50.5¢$463−$14$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 13?Yes1,14233¢39¢$445+$68+$28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?No60574¢72¢$435−$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 13?No64570¢67¢$432−$19−$16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 12?Yes41715¢100¢$417+$354$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 12?No76462.2¢48.5¢$371−$104$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?No48568.8¢74¢$359+$25$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?No68956.6¢51.5¢$355−$35$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 12?No35579¢99.9¢$355+$74$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 13?No40076¢88.5¢$354+$50$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?No49773¢71¢$353−$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?No77151.7¢44.5¢$343−$56$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12?No28873¢99.4¢$286+$76$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12?No39564.7¢68¢$268+$13−$7.38
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 12?No30084¢78¢$234−$18$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?Yes1,49017¢13¢$194−$60$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 12?No33450¢41.5¢$138−$28$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?No47934.8¢28¢$134−$33$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 13?Yes36322¢27.5¢$100+$20$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 12?Yes9530¢100¢$95+$66$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13?No12979¢72¢$93−$9.04$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12?No8349.5¢100¢$83+$42$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?No11973¢68¢$81−$5.92$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 13?Yes30030¢26.5¢$79−$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 13?No12952¢51.5¢$66−$0.64$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?Yes15729¢39¢$61+$16+$86
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 12?No9661.2¢61.5¢$59+$0.29$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 13?No9657¢61¢$58+$3.82$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?No8963¢61¢$54−$1.78$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 12?No5076¢98.7¢$49+$11$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 13?Yes42527¢11.5¢$49−$66$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 12?No4449¢100¢$44+$22$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 13?No10741¢41¢$44$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 12?Yes14521¢27¢$39+$8.70$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?No5776¢68.5¢$39−$4.25+$20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 13?No6348¢55¢$34+$4.38$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 13?No4178¢83.5¢$34+$2.26$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13?No6959.3¢49¢$34−$7.06$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 13?No3677¢91¢$33+$5.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 12?No5461¢54¢$29−$3.78$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12?Yes4459¢58¢$26−$0.44$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?Yes5640¢43.5¢$24+$1.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?No3671.8¢67.5¢$24−$1.55$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 12?No2460¢100¢$24+$9.57$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 13?No3473¢68.5¢$23−$1.54$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?No3850¢50¢$19$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 13?Yes5542¢32¢$18−$5.55$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 13?No2071.2¢83.5¢$17+$2.49$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?No2076¢77¢$15+$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 12?No1571¢100¢$15+$4.33$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?No2855¢51¢$14−$1.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 12?No1461¢94¢$13+$4.48$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 12?No3352¢39¢$13−$4.23$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13?No1566¢76¢$12+$1.54−$1.22
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on October 13?No1767.7¢67¢$11−$0.13$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 13?No1577¢75¢$11−$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 13?No3139¢35¢$11−$1.25$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?Yes2123¢51¢$11+$5.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?Yes2238¢48¢$11+$2.23$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 13?No1469.1¢67¢$9.05−$0.28$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 13?No1077¢72.5¢$7.57−$0.47$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 12?No861¢75.5¢$5.66+$1.09$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?No673¢88¢$5.64+$0.96$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?No862¢63.5¢$4.80+$0.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 12?No663¢57¢$3.70−$0.39$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?Yes2326¢15¢$3.43−$2.52+$9.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12?No640¢52¢$3.12+$0.72$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12?Yes826.1¢33¢$2.66+$0.56$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 12?No371¢100¢$2.53+$0.73$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?No544¢39.5¢$1.98−$0.23$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12?No452¢45.5¢$1.84−$0.26$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?No546¢37¢$1.71−$0.42$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?Yes230¢58.5¢$1.09+$0.53+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 13?No254¢52.5¢$0.86−$0.02$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 12?Yes147¢52¢$0.71+$0.07+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12?No1,08940¢0.1¢$0.54−$435+$5.72
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 12?Yes3935¢1.4¢$0.54−$13$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12?Yes1826¢2.2¢$0.39−$4.29$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 13?Yes219¢17.5¢$0.27−$0.02$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 12?Yes1817.2¢1.5¢$0.26−$2.79$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?Yes46834¢0.1¢$0.23−$159+$3.62
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?Yes34220¢0.1¢$0.17−$68$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 12?Yes17416¢0.1¢$0.09−$28+$96
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 12?Yes14332¢0.1¢$0.07−$46+$4.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?Yes8334.6¢0.1¢$0.04−$29+$12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 11?62¢40$2587%42
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 11?63¢7$4.4187%42
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?50.8¢26$1387%42
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11?61¢110$6787%42
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?99.9¢105$10587%42
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?99.9¢26$2687%42
BUY YesWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be under 5.3?95.3¢54$5287%42
SELL YesWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?5¢115$5.7587%42
BUY YesWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?81¢250$20387%42
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 6.1 or more?99.9¢5$5.0087%42
BUY YesWill the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?99.9¢431$43087%42
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?99.9¢5$5.0087%42
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?99.9¢111$11087%42
SELL NoWill there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?64.6¢175$11387%42
BUY YesWill there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?27¢37$9.9987%42
BUY NoWill there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?91.9¢229$21087%42
BUY YesWill there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?91¢97$8887%42
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?88¢190$16787%42
BUY YesWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?69¢20$1487%42
BUY YesWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?67.1¢277$18687%42