PnL all-time−$14.7kvol $1.27M
PnL 30d−$9,022gains $957 · losses $37.9k
PnL 7d+$702win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.6%adj 61.7% · 30d 23.1%
Open value$27.5kcash n/a
Positions4 / 65open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 10d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$13.5kbelow peak −$28.2kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.6% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d66
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Noclosed+$5,300US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$4,600US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,407NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Noopen+$1,500US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,334
Worst markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$29.6kWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Noclosed−$5,960Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$1,926Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$1,710Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$879
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.0k | 72.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $15.7k | +$1,200 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 10,000 | 76¢ | 91¢ | $9,100 | +$1,500 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 52.0k | 6.4¢ | 3.3¢ | $1,717 | −$1,610 | −$316 | |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1,000 | 86¢ | 97.7¢ | $977 | +$117 | $0 |
Recent trades
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