sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,902

ClaudeIntern

0x95b…1df1
WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$6,200vol $183k
PnL 30d−$3,950gains $745 · losses $596
PnL 7d−$4,225win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate69.9%adj 66.4% · 30d 73.7%
Open value$78.5kcash n/a
Positions58 / 153open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age45dlast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$5,929below peak −$6,068Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 69.9% · shrunk toward 50%66
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 58

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes20.0k89¢90.5¢$18.1k+$299$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No12.9k84.7¢84.5¢$10.9k−$29−$0.26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo11.6k90.1¢91.5¢$10.6k+$166$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No9,93793.3¢95.5¢$9,490+$220+$60
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No6,07296.3¢97.8¢$5,935+$86$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,93197.7¢97.9¢$2,869+$6.47$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,80277¢73.5¢$2,795−$133$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No2,70095¢94.5¢$2,552−$14−$0.70
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes4,75261.3¢46.4¢$2,205−$706−$144
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No2,10595¢94.5¢$1,989−$11$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No1,87895.7¢96.3¢$1,809+$10−$0.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes1,40871.7¢69.5¢$978−$30$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes1,01494¢96.4¢$977+$24$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo80099¢99.1¢$793+$0.82$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No80091¢90.5¢$724−$4.00$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No66073.5¢82.5¢$544+$59$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No50090¢95.5¢$478+$28$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No49482¢95.1¢$470+$65$0
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Avengers: Doomsday44396.3¢97.3¢$431+$4.31$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes55788.3¢76.8¢$427−$64$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No35796.2¢97.4¢$347+$4.10$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes38593¢87.5¢$337−$21$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No36585.7¢91.5¢$334+$21$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes31382.6¢87.2¢$273+$14+$16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes36158.5¢75.5¢$272+$62$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes27781.1¢86.5¢$239+$15+$7.01
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No25887.6¢92¢$237+$11$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No23574¢73.5¢$173−$1.18$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No12693¢96.9¢$122+$4.87$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Yes14386.8¢84.5¢$121−$3.21$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No14275¢84.5¢$120+$13$0
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No10790.2¢95.3¢$102+$5.42$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes12691¢80.5¢$101−$13$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No10769¢83.5¢$89+$15−$4.92
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No8388¢96¢$80+$6.63$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,3265.4¢3.3¢$77−$49$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6958.8¢71.7¢$50+$8.88$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes5874¢77¢$45+$1.74$0
Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Yes5091¢89.5¢$45−$0.75$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No5074¢82.5¢$42+$4.28$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes23214¢14.5¢$34+$1.16$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes4871¢62.5¢$30−$4.06$0
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No3191.2¢91.5¢$28+$0.09+$45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes3965.5¢57.5¢$23−$3.15+$13
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No2187.9¢96.2¢$20+$1.72$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes4063¢42.5¢$17−$8.23−$6.17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes2362¢63.5¢$15+$0.35$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes1592.9¢94.1¢$14+$0.17$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes1193¢99.6¢$11+$0.76$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No3,00790.3¢0¢$0−$2,716−$5.74
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,09090.9¢0¢$0−$1,899−$5.66
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1,65550.2¢0¢$0−$831−$121
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No49159¢0¢$0−$290$0
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1101¢0¢$0−$1.10$0
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes8690¢0¢$0−$77−$0.31
US Open WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Petra MarcinkoPetra Marcinko4587.9¢0¢$0−$40−$182
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 WinnerSkillcamp Esport2865¢0¢$0−$18−$0.32
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerHANJIN BRION1364¢0¢$0−$8.62−$0.16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?95¢2,105$2,00070%35
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?96¢938$90070%35
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢476$40070%35
BUY NoRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?92¢19$1770%35
SELL NoRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?90¢189$17070%35
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢471$40070%35
BUY YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?87.8¢43$3870%35
BUY YesWill Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?97.4¢79$7770%35
SELL CyberHeroDota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner22.8¢250$5770%35
SELL CyberHeroDota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs55¢131$7270%35
BUY CyberHeroDota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner64¢19$1270%35
BUY CyberHeroDota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner74.6¢402$30070%35
BUY CyberHeroDota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs83¢120$10070%35
BUY CyberHeroDota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs70.9¢141$10070%35
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House99¢800$79270%35
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢1,000$93070%35
BUY NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?91¢800$72870%35
SELL NoRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?88¢748$65870%35
SELL NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.7¢560$55870%35
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢1,047$89070%35