PnL all-time+$2,669vol $99.7k
PnL 30d+$1,111gains $2,162 · losses $182
PnL 7d+$25win rate 7d 62.5%
Win rate63.6%adj 61.1% · 30d 64.7%
Open value$559cash n/a
Positions5 / 93open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,846below peak −$16Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? · Noclosed+$688Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yesclosed+$459Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$325Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$312Renan Santos participates in debate before first round? · Noclosed+$200
Worst markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Downclosed−$105Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Noclosed−$77Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? · Noclosed−$68Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Downclosed−$55Lula participates in debate before first round? · Yesclosed−$42
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 272 | 73¢ | 82.5¢ | $225 | +$26 | −$22 | |
| Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 251 | 85¢ | 88.5¢ | $222 | +$8.77 | $0 | |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 100 | 40¢ | 54¢ | $54 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 5¢ | 4.5¢ | $45 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? | No | 25 | 47¢ | 52.5¢ | $13 | +$1.38 | $0 |
Recent trades
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