PnL all-time+$1,454vol $96.6k
PnL 30d+$750gains $842 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$90win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.9%adj 65.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$3,182cash n/a
Positions3 / 32open / all-time
Max drawdown−70.6%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 19h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,577below peak −$101Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 75.9% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity29
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · Yesclosed+$736Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yesclosed+$561US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yesclosed+$466Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$166Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yesclosed+$140
Worst markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Noclosed−$905Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? · Yesclosed−$315Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · Yesclosed−$286Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · Yesclosed−$220Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yesclosed−$104
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 80¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,650 | +$50 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 1,000 | 85¢ | 85.5¢ | $855 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 940 | 68¢ | 72.1¢ | $677 | +$38 | $0 |
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