PnL all-time+$63.3kvol $4.23M
PnL 30d+$2,278gains $2,494 · losses $2,318
PnL 7d+$915win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.0%adj 80.1% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$41.1kcash n/a
Positions5 / 311open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.4%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 3h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$69.1kbelow peak −$5,157Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 82.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Noclosed+$10.3kUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$7,171Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? · Noclosed+$6,679Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Noclosed+$4,763Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? · Noclosed+$4,326
Worst markets
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? · Noclosed−$22.1kWill OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? · Yesclosed−$2,247Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28? · Noclosed−$2,227Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,989Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? · Noclosed−$1,649
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 26.0k | 95.5¢ | 98.7¢ | $25.7k | +$837 | +$313 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? | No | 5,923 | 95.3¢ | 96.2¢ | $5,695 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | No | 4,728 | 97¢ | 97.1¢ | $4,588 | +$1.68 | +$88 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? | No | 4,000 | 88¢ | 87.5¢ | $3,500 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October? | No | 1,653 | 97.9¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,634 | +$16 | +$1.02 |
Recent trades
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