| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 227k | 67.4¢ | 79.5¢ | $180k | +$27.4k | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 169k | 35.3¢ | 51.4¢ | $86.9k | +$27.2k | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 88.6k | 87.9¢ | 88.5¢ | $78.4k | +$489 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 135k | 60.4¢ | 42.2¢ | $56.9k | −$24.7k | −$2.44 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 71.9k | 93.2¢ | 79¢ | $56.8k | −$10.2k | $0 | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 54.3k | 70.2¢ | 98.4¢ | $53.4k | +$15.3k | −$3,784 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 53.7k | 35.5¢ | 98.9¢ | $53.1k | +$34.0k | +$5,824 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 78.7k | 50.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $49.2k | +$9,458 | −$926 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 44.3k | 75.9¢ | 84.5¢ | $37.5k | +$3,805 | −$414 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 84.1k | 59.2¢ | 42.5¢ | $35.7k | −$14.0k | $0 | |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 37.3k | 88.1¢ | 89¢ | $33.2k | +$320 | −$1,993 | |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 32.7k | 91¢ | 91.6¢ | $30.0k | +$206 | $0 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | No | 32.0k | 82.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $29.6k | +$3,069 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 52.7k | 59.4¢ | 55.5¢ | $29.3k | −$2,073 | $0 | |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 40.3k | 61.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $28.8k | +$4,040 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 72.8k | 43.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $27.3k | −$4,343 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 29.2k | 88.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $27.0k | +$1,056 | −$1,012 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 32.9k | 78.1¢ | 81.5¢ | $26.8k | +$1,123 | +$596 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 46.8k | 59.5¢ | 55.5¢ | $26.0k | −$1,859 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 31.9k | 38.6¢ | 74.5¢ | $23.8k | +$11.5k | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 26.0k | 84.4¢ | 86.5¢ | $22.5k | +$541 | $0 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 21.6k | 84.6¢ | 90.1¢ | $19.5k | +$1,198 | −$370 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 21.9k | 67.7¢ | 81.5¢ | $17.8k | +$3,032 | +$5,494 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 30.0k | 51.9¢ | 56.5¢ | $16.9k | +$1,370 | −$206 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 26.9k | 55.5¢ | 62.7¢ | $16.9k | +$1,943 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 42.2k | 43.7¢ | 38.5¢ | $16.3k | −$2,197 | $0 | |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 18.8k | 66.3¢ | 82¢ | $15.4k | +$2,943 | −$770 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 22.3k | 72.6¢ | 61.5¢ | $13.7k | −$2,472 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | No | 17.5k | 80.3¢ | 77.5¢ | $13.6k | −$482 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 22.2k | 38¢ | 58.5¢ | $13.0k | +$4,542 | +$893 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 21.1k | 71.7¢ | 61.5¢ | $13.0k | −$2,150 | $0 | |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | No | 13.1k | 94.8¢ | 96.8¢ | $12.6k | +$258 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | Yes | 15.6k | 79.8¢ | 77.5¢ | $12.1k | −$362 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 14.3k | 86.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $12.1k | −$273 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 12.5k | 91.7¢ | 94.3¢ | $11.8k | +$325 | $0 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 13.5k | 83.7¢ | 84.1¢ | $11.4k | +$54 | −$3,109 | |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 12.1k | 90.5¢ | 91.9¢ | $11.1k | +$170 | $0 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 56.7k | 23.2¢ | 19.5¢ | $11.0k | −$2,145 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 14.1k | 68¢ | 77.5¢ | $10.9k | +$1,341 | −$560 | |
| Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.9k | 97.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $10.6k | −$26 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 11.4k | 77.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $10.3k | +$1,505 | −$2,314 | |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | No | 9,977 | 21.5¢ | 98.4¢ | $9,817 | +$7,676 | $0 | |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 9,437 | 29.2¢ | 97.9¢ | $9,234 | +$6,477 | +$3,835 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 10.5k | 84.8¢ | 87.5¢ | $9,205 | +$286 | −$1,607 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | No | 9,634 | 83¢ | 94.5¢ | $9,104 | +$1,113 | −$610 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 9,636 | 84¢ | 89.5¢ | $8,624 | +$530 | $0 | |
| Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 8,304 | 90¢ | 98.9¢ | $8,212 | +$739 | +$22 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 8,520 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $8,051 | +$128 | $0 | |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 7,780 | 94¢ | 99.7¢ | $7,753 | +$440 | −$3,152 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 31.0k | 29.3¢ | 24.5¢ | $7,599 | −$1,494 | −$41 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 8,744 | 57.2¢ | 83.5¢ | $7,301 | +$2,295 | −$400 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 16.3k | 28.4¢ | 43¢ | $6,989 | +$2,366 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 9,930 | 52.2¢ | 69.8¢ | $6,926 | +$1,744 | +$2.41 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 8,521 | 83¢ | 81¢ | $6,902 | −$170 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 18.4k | 35.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $6,890 | +$399 | +$1,256 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 7,544 | 86¢ | 91¢ | $6,865 | +$377 | $0 | |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | No | 6,857 | 89¢ | 99.8¢ | $6,840 | +$736 | −$1,012 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 36.8k | 16.7¢ | 18.5¢ | $6,805 | +$670 | +$1,760 | |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 7,134 | 93.2¢ | 95.2¢ | $6,788 | +$142 | −$963 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | No | 12.3k | 57¢ | 54.5¢ | $6,676 | −$303 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | No | 13.9k | 61.5¢ | 46¢ | $6,393 | −$2,156 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? | No | 8,992 | 74¢ | 70.5¢ | $6,339 | −$315 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? | Yes | 6,475 | 91.8¢ | 96.8¢ | $6,265 | +$321 | −$33 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 11.1k | 34.2¢ | 56.5¢ | $6,259 | +$2,473 | +$171 | |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 6,506 | 92.7¢ | 96¢ | $6,245 | +$215 | −$2,357 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 6,923 | 78.5¢ | 90¢ | $6,231 | +$797 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 7,405 | 83¢ | 83.5¢ | $6,183 | +$37 | −$45 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8,296 | 68.7¢ | 71.5¢ | $5,932 | +$235 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 15.6k | 39.6¢ | 36.5¢ | $5,710 | −$489 | −$379 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 14.1k | 37.5¢ | 39.5¢ | $5,557 | +$280 | +$71 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 6,182 | 53.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $5,224 | +$1,932 | −$1,333 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | No | 6,991 | 72.1¢ | 73.5¢ | $5,138 | +$96 | −$124 | |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 9,809 | 42.1¢ | 51.5¢ | $5,052 | +$926 | $0 | |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 6,063 | 72¢ | 77.5¢ | $4,699 | +$334 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | No | 6,345 | 70¢ | 70.5¢ | $4,473 | +$33 | $0 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 77.8k | 19.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $4,277 | −$10.7k | +$8,501 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 4,598 | 71.8¢ | 91¢ | $4,184 | +$883 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | Yes | 6,006 | 70.8¢ | 69.5¢ | $4,174 | −$77 | $0 | |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 4,241 | 22.1¢ | 98.4¢ | $4,171 | +$3,234 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | No | 4,233 | 81.3¢ | 96.4¢ | $4,078 | +$638 | −$1,515 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? | Yes | 5,892 | 73.9¢ | 69¢ | $4,066 | −$292 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat? | Yes | 4,986 | 83¢ | 81.5¢ | $4,064 | −$74 | $0 | |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 3,928 | 71.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $3,922 | +$1,129 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.6k | 30.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $3,728 | −$125 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 6,959 | 50.8¢ | 52.5¢ | $3,653 | +$114 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.8k | 30¢ | 28.5¢ | $3,640 | −$197 | $0 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | No | 5,544 | 47¢ | 65.5¢ | $3,631 | +$1,026 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 3,699 | 78¢ | 95.9¢ | $3,546 | +$660 | −$5,860 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | No | 4,814 | 72.9¢ | 73.5¢ | $3,538 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 4,790 | 67¢ | 70.5¢ | $3,377 | +$169 | −$4.27 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | No | 4,107 | 89.2¢ | 81.4¢ | $3,341 | −$322 | −$123 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 20.6k | 22.3¢ | 16.1¢ | $3,323 | −$1,287 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.5k | 37.8¢ | 26.5¢ | $3,301 | −$1,413 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7,165 | 30¢ | 43.5¢ | $3,117 | +$967 | +$288 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 10.8k | 35.4¢ | 28.7¢ | $3,095 | −$718 | +$57 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | No | 4,715 | 64¢ | 65.5¢ | $3,088 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | No | 4,457 | 68¢ | 67¢ | $2,986 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2,946 | 98.6¢ | 99.2¢ | $2,921 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 4,433 | 66¢ | 65.5¢ | $2,904 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 25.6k | 59.6¢ | 11¢ | $2,813 | −$12.4k | −$4,305 | |