sharpside
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Traders/Rank #12,696

SheliaPowers1538

0x964…44ac
PoliticsCultureOtherSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$24vol $146k
PnL 30d+$11gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$14win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.5%adj 56.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,075cash n/a
Positions29 / 348open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$8.05below peak −$276Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.5% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will "Monkey" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)No76588¢100¢$765+$92$0
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No15059.7¢100¢$150+$61+$21
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No5924.1¢95¢$56+$42$0
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No5495.6¢100¢$54+$2.35$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?No2559.9¢100¢$25+$10$0
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes4274.1¢55.2¢$23−$7.94$0
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No181¢100¢$1.00+$0.19−$0.06
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No366¢27¢$0.81−$1.17−$2.85
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?Yes91511.1¢0¢$0−$102$0
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo43286¢0¢$0−$372$0
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No32068¢0¢$0−$218$0
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No16220¢0¢$0−$32−$6.13
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes769.9¢0¢$0−$7.52$0
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?Yes731.4¢0¢$0−$1.02$0
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No7286¢0¢$0−$62$0
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?Yes621.6¢0¢$0−$0.99$0
Sudan civil war ceasefire in 2025?Yes588¢0¢$0−$4.64$0
Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes551.2¢0¢$0−$0.66−$0.04
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes482.4¢0¢$0−$1.15$0
Will Baluta win by 0-3%?Yes3918¢0¢$0−$7.02$0
Will Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?Yes3071¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will fewer than 20 tornadoes occur in the United States in November?No146¢0¢$0−$0.84−$0.63
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?No134.8¢0¢$0−$0.62−$0.45
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No69¢0¢$0−$0.54−$0.48
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?No540.6¢0¢$0−$2.03−$31
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes59¢0¢$0−$0.45$0
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?No222¢0¢$0−$0.44−$14
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?Yes13.1¢0¢$0−$0.03+$7.39
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Yes153¢0¢$0−$0.53+$0.93

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?36¢7$2.5257%29
SELL NoWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?54¢336$18157%29
SELL NoAnthropic acquired before 2027?87¢352$30657%29
BUY NoAnthropic acquired before 2027?88¢352$31057%29
BUY NoWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?50¢336$16857%29
BUY NoWill "Monkey" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)88¢765$67357%29
BUY NoWill Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?57¢651$37157%29
SELL NoWill Neymar play in the World Cup?65¢486$31657%29
SELL NoWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?59¢55$3257%29
BUY NoWill Neymar play in the World Cup?67¢486$32657%29
BUY NoWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?66¢55$3657%29
SELL NoWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?47¢927$43657%29
BUY NoWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?64¢927$59357%29
SELL NoWill Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?64¢495$31757%29
BUY NoWill Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?64¢495$31757%29
SELL NoWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?83¢382$31757%29
BUY NoWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?84¢382$32157%29
SELL NoAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?72.2¢58$4257%29
SELL NoIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?75¢371$27857%29
BUY NoIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?78¢371$28957%29