Traders/Rank #4,105

ElsaMi

0x965…4228

WR 70+WR 60+1y+Crypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$16.1kvol $258k

PnL 30d−$14.0kgains $13.4k · losses $239

PnL 7d−$17.5kwin rate 7d 73.3%

Win rate73.0%adj 71.2% · 30d 73.8%

Open value$3,210cash n/a

Positions130 / 367open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age1.3ylast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$15.9kbelow peak −$24.7kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 73.0% · shrunk toward 50%78

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Upclosed+$3,956 Steelers vs. Browns · Brownsclosed+$2,678 Chiefs vs. Dolphins · Chiefsclosed+$2,072 Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech · Pittsburghclosed+$1,768 Cardinals vs. 49ers · 49ersclosed+$700

Worst markets

Alcorn State vs. Grambling State · Alcorn Stateopen−$14.2k Chiefs vs. Raiders · Raidersopen−$8,699 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9 AM ET · Upclosed−$1,583 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Downopen−$1,091 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Downopen−$932

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	8,074	28.6¢	28.7¢	$2,313	+$2.55	$0	6mo
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	1,600	39¢	30.3¢	$485	−$139	$0	21d 9h
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	4,184	16¢	9¢	$377	−$293	+$0.63	22d 9h
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	No	50	44¢	52.5¢	$26	+$4.25	$0	6mo
Will Tijuana finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	159	13¢	4.9¢	$7.71	−$13	$0	3mo
Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	No	2	51¢	52¢	$1.11	+$0.02	−$22	ended
Chiefs vs. Raiders	Raiders	25.6k	34¢	0¢	$0	−$8,699	$0	ended
Alcorn State vs. Grambling State	Alcorn State	15.9k	83.6¢	0¢	$0	−$13.3k	−$948	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	2,010	57.4¢	0¢	$0	−$1,153	+$62	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	1,908	48.3¢	0¢	$0	−$921	−$11	ended
Will Russia capture Khotin before July?	Yes	1,527	11.6¢	0¢	$0	−$177	−$29	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	1,053	46.7¢	0¢	$0	−$492	−$7.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	1,000	3¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$2.04	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	1,000	33¢	0¢	$0	−$330	$0	ended
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before July?	Yes	937	38.3¢	0¢	$0	−$358	+$82	ended
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?	Yes	705	57.3¢	0¢	$0	−$404	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	500	44.7¢	0¢	$0	−$223	−$8.65	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8 PM ET	Up	300	4.4¢	0¢	$0	−$13	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	272	78.6¢	0¢	$0	−$214	+$85	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	140	28.6¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$2.00	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	140	12.9¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$0.95	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	114	20.3¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$1.12	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	102	12.7¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.76	ended
Alabama vs. Mississippi State	Mississippi State	100	16¢	0¢	$0	−$16	$0	ended
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka before July?	Yes	100	6.1¢	0¢	$0	−$6.10	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	80	37.2¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$1.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	68	24.3¢	0¢	$0	−$17	−$0.85	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	68	20.6¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.74	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	67	36.2¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$0.64	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	65	4.5¢	0¢	$0	−$2.90	−$0.19	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	65	48.5¢	0¢	$0	−$31	−$1.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	63	54.8¢	0¢	$0	−$34	−$1.08	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	60	17.3¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	60	26.5¢	0¢	$0	−$16	−$0.80	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	55	36.3¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.88	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	52	25.9¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.53	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	48	18¢	0¢	$0	−$8.60	−$0.44	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	48	37.3¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$0.73	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	48	41.3¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.80	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	47	26.2¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.46	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	47	11.9¢	0¢	$0	−$5.60	−$0.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	47	21.1¢	0¢	$0	−$9.86	−$0.54	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	46	22.4¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	46	34.6¢	0¢	$0	−$16	−$0.71	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	44	49.4¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.67	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	42	5¢	0¢	$0	−$2.10	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	42	31.3¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.60	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	42	23.8¢	0¢	$0	−$9.88	−$0.43	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	41	67¢	0¢	$0	−$27	−$0.63	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	41	24¢	0¢	$0	−$9.74	−$0.52	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	37	26.7¢	0¢	$0	−$9.90	−$0.50	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	34	21.1¢	0¢	$0	−$7.20	−$0.40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	34	3¢	0¢	$0	−$1.02	−$0.07	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	33	30¢	0¢	$0	−$9.94	−$0.48	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	33	20¢	0¢	$0	−$6.60	−$0.37	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	33	12¢	0¢	$0	−$3.90	−$0.24	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	31	14¢	0¢	$0	−$4.40	−$0.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	31	62.3¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.49	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	31	29¢	0¢	$0	−$9.00	−$0.45	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	30	31.3¢	0¢	$0	−$9.44	−$0.40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	30	7¢	0¢	$0	−$2.10	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	30	6¢	0¢	$0	−$1.80	−$0.12	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	30	5¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	28	5¢	0¢	$0	−$1.40	−$0.09	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	27	37¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.44	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	27	28¢	0¢	$0	−$7.54	−$0.38	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	25	38.3¢	0¢	$0	−$9.75	−$0.42	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	25	19.8¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.28	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	25	4¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	−$0.07	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	25	31¢	0¢	$0	−$7.60	−$0.37	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	24	34¢	0¢	$0	−$8.00	−$0.37	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	23	41.4¢	0¢	$0	−$9.68	−$0.40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	23	37¢	0¢	$0	−$8.40	−$0.37	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	23	23¢	0¢	$0	−$5.20	−$0.28	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	22	41.4¢	0¢	$0	−$9.18	−$0.32	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	21	65¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	21	20¢	0¢	$0	−$4.20	−$0.24	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	21	40¢	0¢	$0	−$8.40	−$0.35	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	21	47.1¢	0¢	$0	−$9.80	−$0.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	20	46¢	0¢	$0	−$9.40	−$0.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	20	64¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	20	64¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	20	53¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.35	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	20	42¢	0¢	$0	−$8.40	−$0.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	20	9¢	0¢	$0	−$1.80	−$0.11	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	20	44¢	0¢	$0	−$8.80	−$0.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	20	78¢	0¢	$0	−$16	−$0.24	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	20	37¢	0¢	$0	−$7.40	−$0.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	20	8¢	0¢	$0	−$1.60	−$0.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	20	19¢	0¢	$0	−$3.80	−$0.22	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	20	83¢	0¢	$0	−$17	−$0.20	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	20	25¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	20	25¢	0¢	$0	−$4.94	−$0.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	19	51.1¢	0¢	$0	−$9.81	−$0.28	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	18	53¢	0¢	$0	−$9.72	−$0.32	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	18	21.9¢	0¢	$0	−$3.94	−$0.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	16	53.5¢	0¢	$0	−$8.51	−$0.28	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	15	33¢	0¢	$0	−$4.95	−$0.23	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	15	24¢	0¢	$0	−$3.60	−$0.19	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	13	35¢	0¢	$0	−$4.68	−$0.21	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
8h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	31.6¢	5,803	$1,833	73%	39
8h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	29.4¢	40	$12	73%	39
8h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	29.4¢	250	$74	73%	39
8h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	31¢	200	$62	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	29¢	519	$151	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	29¢	874	$253	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	28¢	199	$56	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	29.2¢	4,451	$1,299	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	28¢	208	$58	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	27.9¢	1,311	$365	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	23¢	10	$2.30	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	65¢	5	$3.25	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	37.9¢	7	$2.66	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	61¢	5	$3.10	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Yes	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	25¢	511	$128	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	62¢	5	$3.10	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	56¢	6	$3.25	73%	39
9h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	22¢	10	$2.30	73%	39
10h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	26¢	8	$2.08	73%	39
10h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	73¢	5	$3.85	73%	39