sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Djibooty

0x969…f2d5
1y+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,902vol $4.14M
PnL 30d−$1,793gains $2,582 · losses $2,386
PnL 7d−$605win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate49.0%adj 49.0% · 30d 67.9%
Open value$29.3kcash n/a
Positions67 / 729open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,909below peak −$25.8kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 49.0% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$6,581Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals? · USAclosed+$5,540US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$4,421Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k? · Yesclosed+$3,877Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed+$3,612

Worst markets

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$13.2kU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? · Yesclosed−$9,414Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed−$7,114US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Noclosed−$6,075Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? · Yesclosed−$5,390

Open positions · 67

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No4,68359.5¢66¢$3,091+$304−$1.42
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No5,39259¢43.5¢$2,346−$837$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No2,00391.8¢95.8¢$1,918+$80+$4.97
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No1,95485.5¢94.3¢$1,842+$170$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,00088¢90.5¢$1,810+$50$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes6,9470¢21.5¢$1,494+$1,494$0
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No1,34463.5¢84.5¢$1,136+$283$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No1,50063.3¢70.5¢$1,058+$108$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,50070¢68.5¢$1,027−$22$0
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?No84489.9¢94.6¢$799+$39+$1.14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No90085¢88¢$792+$27$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No1,02368.4¢73.5¢$752+$52$0
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes80091¢85.5¢$684−$44$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,10063¢61.5¢$677−$17$0
Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?No92974.3¢70.5¢$655−$35$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes3,92765.2¢14.5¢$569−$1,991−$605
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes90061¢62.5¢$562+$13$0
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No60092¢88.5¢$531−$21$0
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No1,00063¢50.5¢$505−$125$0
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No50088¢91.5¢$457+$17$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No1,00033¢43.5¢$435+$105$0
Will Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?No3,06017.8¢14¢$428−$117$0
Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?No50476.6¢82¢$413+$27$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes50081¢81¢$405$0+$8.02
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes40097¢96.3¢$385−$2.80$0
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes57360¢65.5¢$375+$32$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No50069¢73.5¢$367+$22$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes40056¢86.1¢$344+$120+$16
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No42482¢80¢$339−$8.48$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No50064¢62.5¢$313−$7.50$0
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No35089¢84¢$294−$18−$195
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No81426¢30.5¢$248+$37+$96
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?No2,00011¢12¢$240+$20$0
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes33763¢70.5¢$238+$25$0
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No34062¢58.3¢$198−$13$0
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No65939.7¢29¢$191−$71+$227
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes1,00016¢17.5¢$175+$15$0
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No14063¢91.5¢$128+$40$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No1250¢90.7¢$113+$113$0
Will The Odyssey rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?No2,0009¢5.5¢$110−$70$0
Will Toy Story 5 rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?No12032¢65.5¢$79+$40$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes70062¢11¢$77−$357$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes1,00056¢7¢$70−$490$0
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No11353¢58.5¢$66+$6.20$0
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?No32120¢20.5¢$66+$1.61$0
Will Zendaya rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?No8052¢80.5¢$64+$23$0
Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes4754.8¢13.4¢$63+$41$0
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No10052¢59.5¢$60+$7.50$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes7758¢69.2¢$53+$8.55$0
Will Folarin Balogun rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes21413¢20.5¢$44+$16$0
Will Teach You a Lesson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?No5233.8¢78¢$41+$23$0
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No4372.3¢90¢$38+$7.53$0
Will Chase Infiniti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?No4030¢90.5¢$36+$24$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes9333¢33.5¢$31+$0.46$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No3958¢64¢$25+$2.33$0
Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?No2026¢37.5¢$7.50+$2.30$0
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No592¢93¢$4.65+$0.05$0
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes158¢2.6¢$0.38−$0.81$0
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes3,51527.7¢0¢$0−$973−$83
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?No2,22972¢0¢$0−$1,605−$12
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No2,12185.7¢0¢$0−$1,817−$1.05
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,13710.7¢0¢$0−$122−$4.35
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No1,06152.6¢0¢$0−$558−$11
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?No97521¢0¢$0−$204−$3.26
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?No37635¢0¢$0−$132−$3.42
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No35567¢0¢$0−$238−$3.14
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes30088¢0¢$0−$264+$24

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?22.6¢96$2249%43
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?91¢500$45549%43
BUY NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?69.4¢323$22449%43
SELL YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?79¢600$47449%43
BUY YesWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?60¢573$34449%43
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?92¢2,000$1,84049%43
BUY NoWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?65¢1,000$65049%43
BUY NoWill Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?11¢300$3349%43
BUY NoWill Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?76¢444$33749%43
BUY YesWill the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?10.7¢1,137$12249%43
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?95.9¢727$69749%43
BUY NoWill Teach You a Lesson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?33.8¢52$1849%43
BUY NoWill Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?20¢711$14249%43
BUY YesWill the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?52¢15$7.5849%43
BUY NoWill the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?58.5¢554$32449%43
BUY NoWill the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?44.5¢205$9149%43
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86¢3,000$2,58049%43
SELL NoWill OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?32.9¢26$8.4349%43
BUY NoWill the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?63¢50$3249%43
BUY YesWill OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?67¢366$24549%43