PnL all-time+$255kvol $16.7M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.4%adj 55.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$10cash n/a
Positions10 / 1,634open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.8%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$258kbelow peak −$66.0kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 55.4% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Israel strikes Iran before 2026? · Noclosed+$32.9kUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yesclosed+$16.2kIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$16.2kWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? · Yesclosed+$14.1kUS forces in Venezuela by December 31? · Noclosed+$14.0k
Worst markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$40.4kUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Noclosed−$24.6kIsrael military action against Iran before July? · Noclosed−$12.2kUS forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$10.8kWill Trump release more Epstein files in 2025? · Noclosed−$10.7k
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 0¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.50 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 0¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.50 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 0¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.50 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 0¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.50 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 0¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.50 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 0¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.50 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.50 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.50 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $0.03 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 25.3k | 38.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,635 | −$379 |
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