PnL all-time+$101vol $72.6k
PnL 30d−$5.78gains $22 · losses $155
PnL 7d−$1.10win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate41.7%adj 46.9% · 30d 20.0%
Open value$1,357cash n/a
Positions2 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$245below peak −$82Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 41.7% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump visit China by June 30? · Yesclosed+$258Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yesclosed+$67Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$4.952026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Noclosed+$1.73
Worst markets
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$84Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Noclosed−$61Will Trump visit China by May 31? · Yesclosed−$27Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$27Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$22
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 1,377 | 98.2¢ | 98.3¢ | $1,353 | +$0.69 | −$4.68 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16 | 23.7¢ | 22.2¢ | $3.59 | −$0.25 | −$26 |
Recent trades
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