PnL all-time−$41.7kvol $639k
PnL 30d+$4,793gains $0 · losses $45.6k
PnL 7d+$416win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate20.0%adj 44.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$37.0kcash n/a
Positions5 / 10open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.2%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$37.4kbelow peak −$2,011Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 20.0% · shrunk toward 50%10
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable33
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$43.9kNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,547Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen−$1,220Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yesopen−$1,071Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed−$133
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 19.2k | 58.2¢ | 85.8¢ | $16.4k | +$5,279 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 21.9k | 42.3¢ | 44.2¢ | $9,695 | +$420 | +$361 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 71.1k | 14.1¢ | 12.4¢ | $8,780 | −$1,220 | $0 | |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 13.8k | 21.9¢ | 14.1¢ | $1,942 | −$1,071 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 205 | 65.6¢ | 62.2¢ | $127 | −$7.06 | $0 |
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