sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,158

Flaky-Machine

0x977…5a0a
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$12.2kvol $729k
PnL 30d−$7,608gains $3,612 · losses $13.0k
PnL 7d−$293win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate71.8%adj 64.4% · 30d 25.0%
Open value$71.0kcash n/a
Positions5 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$9,629below peak −$16.3kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.8% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d80
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 5

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No67.6k96¢97.2¢$65.7k+$788+$186
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,57184¢82.5¢$2,946−$54$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo2,29987¢91.5¢$2,103+$103−$93
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes27569.8¢83.5¢$230+$38$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes7,71948.2¢0¢$0−$3,719−$95

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?81¢56$4572%25
SELL NoBlue wave in 2026?15¢314$4772%25
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?81¢128$10472%25
SELL NoTrump out as President before 2027?96.4¢16$1672%25
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?47¢91$4372%25
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?95.8¢5,115$4,90072%25
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢3,571$3,00072%25
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?96.2¢18.2k$17.5k72%25Whale
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?95.9¢44.3k$42.5k72%25Whale
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House40.5¢41.1k$16.6k72%25Whale
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House39¢34.8k$13.6k72%25Whale
SELL NoTrump out as President before 2027?93.7¢41.2k$38.6k72%25Whale
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?37¢112$4172%25
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?37¢541$20072%25
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?37¢541$20072%25
SELL YesWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?89¢513$45772%25
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?48¢446$21472%25
SELL NoFed rate hike in 2026?26¢795$20772%25
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?51¢4,242$2,16472%25
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?96.2¢2,225$2,14172%25