sharpside
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SafeVaultBlue

0x977…0981
WR 60+SportOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,038vol $284k
PnL 30d+$635gains $669 · losses $566
PnL 7d+$178win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate60.4%adj 59.7% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$3,069cash n/a
Positions131 / 419open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.9%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,173below peak −$52Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 60.4% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d84
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?No91194.2¢88.5¢$806−$52−$2.66
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?No47095.1¢97.8¢$460+$12$0
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?No33096¢91.7¢$303−$14$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes22051¢83.5¢$184+$72−$8.80
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No14093.7¢99.2¢$139+$7.59$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No22049.6¢55.5¢$122+$13$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes10595.1¢95.6¢$101+$0.53$0
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No9095.3¢99.9¢$90+$4.09$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No9092.6¢95¢$85+$2.12$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No14077.3¢57.5¢$81−$28$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes19065.3¢41.5¢$79−$45$0
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No8092.7¢98.2¢$79+$4.40$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?No8092¢97.5¢$78+$4.36$0
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No8091¢96.2¢$77+$4.16$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No8089¢90.8¢$73+$1.44$0
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No8083¢90.5¢$72+$6.00$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Yes6086¢76.5¢$46−$5.70$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8044.8¢48.4¢$39+$2.92$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Yes6268.5¢62¢$39−$4.03$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes21018.3¢15.5¢$32−$5.99$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?Yes12017.9¢19.1¢$23+$1.32$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes13022.6¢14.6¢$19−$10$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2107.9¢6.4¢$13−$3.15$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No8026¢16.5¢$13−$7.60$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Yes1207.5¢6.3¢$7.50−$1.56$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6010.9¢9¢$5.43−$1.11$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes600¢7.9¢$4.71+$4.71$0
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes1,00128¢0¢$0−$280$0
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?Yes1,00033¢0¢$0−$330−$85
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Yes6004.7¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes51514¢0¢$0−$72−$1.86
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes51231¢0¢$0−$159−$3.29
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes51224¢0¢$0−$123−$2.80
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes51132¢0¢$0−$164−$3.34
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes50026¢0¢$0−$130+$120
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes50011.2¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes50024¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes50023¢0¢$0−$115$0
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes50026¢0¢$0−$130$0
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes50013¢0¢$0−$65$0
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes50019¢0¢$0−$95$0
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes50022¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes50010¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes50011¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes50012¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes50030¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes50023¢0¢$0−$115$0
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes50023¢0¢$0−$115$0
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?Yes50022¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes50026¢0¢$0−$130$0
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Yes50019.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes50016¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes50020¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes50017¢0¢$0−$85$0
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes50027¢0¢$0−$135$0
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes5007¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes50027¢0¢$0−$135$0
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?Yes50017¢0¢$0−$85$0
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes50017¢0¢$0−$85$0
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?Yes3046.9¢0¢$0−$21−$0.31
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway?Yes3006¢0¢$0−$18$0
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?Yes3006¢0¢$0−$18$0
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Korea Republic?Yes3008¢0¢$0−$24$0
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?Yes30014¢0¢$0−$42$0
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?Yes3005¢0¢$0−$15$0
Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 0 Haiti?Yes3004.5¢0¢$0−$14$0
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Algeria?Yes3006¢0¢$0−$18$0
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria?Yes3009¢0¢$0−$27$0
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?Yes3008¢0¢$0−$24$0
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Yes3002.7¢0¢$0−$8.10$0
Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 0 Iraq?Yes3004¢0¢$0−$12$0
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Uzbekistan?Yes3004¢0¢$0−$12$0
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?Yes3008¢0¢$0−$24$0
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 DR Congo?Yes3008¢0¢$0−$24$0
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq?Yes3002.5¢0¢$0−$7.50$0
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Spain?Yes3009¢0¢$0−$27$0
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Netherlands?Yes3003.2¢0¢$0−$9.60$0
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?Yes30017¢0¢$0−$51$0
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?Yes3008¢0¢$0−$24$0
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?Yes3005¢0¢$0−$15$0
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 0 IR Iran?Yes30015¢0¢$0−$45$0
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Morocco?Yes30010¢0¢$0−$30$0
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal?Yes3009¢0¢$0−$27$0
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?Yes3009¢0¢$0−$27$0
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria?Yes3006¢0¢$0−$18$0
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?Yes3007¢0¢$0−$21$0
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 England?Yes3003.2¢0¢$0−$9.60$0
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Egypt?Yes3008¢0¢$0−$24$0
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?Yes3009¢0¢$0−$27$0
Exact Score: Curaçao 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?Yes3003.8¢0¢$0−$11$0
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?Yes30013¢0¢$0−$39$0
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Belgium?Yes3002.8¢0¢$0−$8.40$0
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Brazil?Yes3005.9¢0¢$0−$18$0
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Argentina?Yes3003.8¢0¢$0−$11$0
Brazil vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?Yes3006¢0¢$0−$18+$88
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 0 Qatar?Yes3004¢0¢$0−$12$0
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Sweden?Yes3004¢0¢$0−$12$0
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?Yes3004.4¢0¢$0−$13$0
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 United States?Yes3005¢0¢$0−$15$0
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?Yes3006¢0¢$0−$18$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?49.6¢220$10960%67
BUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?11.4¢84$9.5860%67
BUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?9.4¢101$9.5760%67
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET96.1¢80$7760%67
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET86.9¢150$13060%67
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET56¢80$4560%67
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET70¢60$4260%67
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET95¢20$1960%67
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET91.1¢252$22960%67
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET99¢310$30760%67
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET95¢302$28760%67
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET97¢132$12860%67
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET23.6¢120$2860%67
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET96¢164$15860%67
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET97¢89$8660%67
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET78¢60$4760%67
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET95¢26$2560%67
BUY NoWill USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?95.1¢470$44760%67
BUY NoWill USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?95.1¢730$69460%67
BUY NoWill USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?91.1¢182$16660%67