sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,607

Quandal

0x979…c193
1y+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$24.1kvol $1.66M
PnL 30d−$2,102gains $94 · losses $2,237
PnL 7d−$374win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate31.6%adj 32.3% · 30d 9.4%
Open value$20cash n/a
Positions43 / 948open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$23.1kbelow peak −$23.2kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 31.6% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No2093.5¢98.6¢$20+$1.02−$0.51
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes206.4¢1.4¢$0.28−$1.00$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes3,1576.1¢0¢$0−$194−$3.72
Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsYes1,71891¢0¢$0−$1,563$0
Will David Crowley win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?No1,19395¢0¢$0−$1,134+$14
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?No1,03585¢0¢$0−$880−$5.28
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere76252¢0¢$0−$397+$3.34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50010.9¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50012.3¢0¢$0−$62$0
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5006.9¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5005.3¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5009.8¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes40027¢0¢$0−$108$0
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports33959¢0¢$0−$200−$2.46
Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 125k and 145k?Yes2775¢0¢$0−$14−$0.81
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina25041¢0¢$0−$103$0
Rainbow Six Siege: All Gamers vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group StageLeviatán Esports24990¢0¢$0−$224−$0.80
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20050¢0¢$0−$100−$1.50
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja ChwalinskaDiana Shnaider15061.3¢0¢$0−$92$0
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over14734¢0¢$0−$50−$0.99
Will Trump’s remarks not air?Yes1420.8¢0¢$0−$1.15$0
Rainbow Six Siege: All Gamers vs Kingzone - Game 2 WinnerAll Gamers11082¢0¢$0−$90−$0.49
Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be between 12.5% and 15%?Yes10617¢0¢$0−$18−$0.60
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes10519¢0¢$0−$20−$0.49
Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be between 15% and 17.5%?Yes10519¢0¢$0−$20−$0.65
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10249¢0¢$0−$50−$0.76
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia10229.5¢0¢$0−$30−$0.63
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes10020¢0¢$0−$20$0
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?Yes1000.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Dana White's Contender Series: Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Camila Reynoso8822.8¢0¢$0−$20−$0.77
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes830.1¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AHMBLE6512¢0¢$0−$7.79$0
Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.55032¢0¢$0−$16$0
Game Handicap: KZ (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)Kingzone501¢0¢$0−$0.50−$0.48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIT15033¢0¢$0−$17$0
Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.55040¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes5047¢0¢$0−$24$0
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderAryna Sabalenka3333¢0¢$0−$11$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?Down265.1¢0¢$0−$1.34+$8.00
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men - Game 2 WinnerFour Angry Men2455¢0¢$0−$13+$0.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group ApaiN112¢0¢$0−$0.23−$0.13
Rainbow Six Siege: My Queen vs Leviatán Esports - Game 2 WinnerMy Queen1130.9¢0¢$0−$3.33$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No471¢0¢$0−$3.06+$4.63

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?90¢9,000$8,10032%27
SELL NoCarles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 15, 2026?90.8¢100$9132%27
SELL YesAbstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?0.8¢950$7.7232%27
BUYChina Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur AND Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06?32.9¢29$9.6832%27
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5?86.9¢21$1832%27
SELL YesWill there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?87¢23$2032%27
SELL YesWill the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?8¢2,000$16032%27
SELL YesSydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?3.1¢201$6.1432%27
SELL YesSydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?4¢150$6.0032%27
SELL NoWill the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?90¢276$24832%27
SELL YesAmerica.gov removed by October 31?4¢200$8.0032%27
SELL YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?35.6¢7,000$2,49532%27
SELL YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?22.2¢500$11132%27
SELL YesWill Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?34.7¢898$31232%27
SELL YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?34.1¢1,750$59732%27
SELL YesWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?92.6¢100$9332%27
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?83¢21$1732%27
BUY Camila ReynosoDana White's Contender Series: Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)22.8¢88$2032%27
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?4¢3,000$12032%27
SELL YesWill "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?92¢199$18332%27