sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Aureliuss

0x97c…227d
PoliticsWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$306vol $51.1k
PnL 30d+$39gains $345 · losses $149
PnL 7d+$245win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate46.8%adj 47.6% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions15 / 78open / all-time
Max drawdown−67.7%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$153below peak −$432Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 46.8% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity32

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes4863.5¢0¢$0−$17−$17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?No39610.4¢0¢$0−$41−$34
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Yes3220.8¢0¢$0−$2.60−$0.13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes3182.9¢0¢$0−$9.21−$0.45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?No3133.2¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.48
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes2229¢0¢$0−$20−$0.91
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes2198.2¢0¢$0−$18+$2.62
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?No21421¢0¢$0−$45−$1.78
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes1862.7¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Yes16911.8¢0¢$0−$20−$0.84
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?No1613.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$74
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons1254¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?Yes1152.6¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?No1070.9¢0¢$0−$1.00−$3.85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes10111.3¢0¢$0−$11−$0.51

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?5¢110$5.4847%31
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?4.9¢880$4347%31
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?7¢300$2147%31
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?7¢143$1047%31
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?9.1¢110$1047%31
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?9.6¢104$1047%31
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?9¢111$1047%31
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?9¢111$1047%31
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?9¢111$1047%31
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?3.6¢804$2947%31
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?87.5¢66$5847%31
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?74¢66$4947%31
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?6.2¢804$5047%31
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?13.1¢804$10547%31
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?17.4¢543$9447%31
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?17.6¢261$4647%31
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?18¢560$10147%31
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?19.6¢263$5247%31
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?12.8¢823$10547%31
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?0.1¢263$0.2647%31