sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,646

Hakei.

0x97e…3363
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$94.7kvol $5.41M
PnL 30d+$3,400gains $23.7k · losses $43.4k
PnL 7d+$2,266win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate70.9%adj 70.0% · 30d 56.7%
Open value$34.9kcash n/a
Positions72 / 1,946open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.6%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 15h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$87.7kbelow peak −$38.9kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 70.9% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Noclosed+$16.0kPatriots vs. Seahawks · Seahawksclosed+$10.8kCounter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner · Vitalityclosed+$5,392LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner · T1closed+$4,933UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Joshua Vanclosed+$3,979

Worst markets

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C · Vitalityclosed−$11.6kWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? · Yesclosed−$8,716Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner · Vitalityclosed−$6,926Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner · BetBoom Teamclosed−$6,072Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner · Natus Vincereclosed−$5,381

Open positions · 72

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No6,66678¢85.5¢$5,699+$500+$1,201
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes10,00065¢47.1¢$4,710−$1,790$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes9,23154.3¢50¢$4,615−$398$0
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?No3,26275.5¢73.5¢$2,398−$65$0
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No2,53085.3¢82¢$2,075−$83+$8.69
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes12.8k14.5¢9.5¢$1,217−$637$0
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?No1,11185¢99.1¢$1,101+$157$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes2,96271.7¢35.5¢$1,052−$1,073$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes3,05436.5¢33.5¢$1,023−$91$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes6,13178¢16.5¢$1,012−$3,768+$2.50
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No1,00030¢98.5¢$985+$685$0
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No1,00085¢88.2¢$882+$32$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes8,97414.3¢8.5¢$763−$520−$41
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No3,33366¢22.5¢$748−$1,452$0
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes2,99725¢24.5¢$734−$15$0
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No94365.5¢74¢$698+$80$0
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No66670.1¢81.5¢$543+$76$0
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes2,71630.9¢18.5¢$502−$338+$54
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes4,47537.1¢11¢$492−$1,168$0
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No49295.6¢97.4¢$479+$8.83+$7.79
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Yes3,38212¢11.5¢$389−$17+$8.80
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes1,89259.9¢20¢$378−$755$0
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No42787.2¢83.5¢$356−$16$0
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes1,30721.5¢25¢$327+$46$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes4867¢67.2¢$326+$292$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No1,86018.7¢12.6¢$233−$114$0
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes31536¢54.5¢$171+$58$0
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes1,6607¢9¢$149+$33+$7.91
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes2,33273.4¢4.3¢$99−$1,613$0
Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027?No8577.9¢99.2¢$85+$18$0
Will G2 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes1,5420.2¢5¢$77+$74$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes56346.2¢13.5¢$76−$184$0
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No13063¢45¢$59−$23$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes1,14824.9¢4.5¢$52−$234$0
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No55611¢9¢$50−$11$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes1,15012¢4.4¢$50−$88−$28
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes52112.2¢9¢$47−$17$0
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Yes20933.1¢21.5¢$45−$24$0
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No8059.4¢42.1¢$34−$14$0
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?Yes34349.4¢8.3¢$28−$141$0
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?No2933.4¢90.5¢$26+$17$0
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Yes18590¢12¢$22−$144$0
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes3028¢58¢$18+$9.14$0
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Yes1640¢33¢$5.28−$1.12$0
Will KT be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes9520.2¢0.5¢$5.24+$3.33+$2.65
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No10.2k25.2¢0.1¢$5.12−$2,569+$24
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No22611¢2.1¢$4.63−$20$0
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No967¢3.8¢$3.65−$3.04$0
1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 13.5 Total CornersOver550¢50¢$2.50$0$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes518¢27.5¢$1.28+$0.44$0
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes4913.3¢2.1¢$1.01−$5.53$0
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes985¢1¢$0.98−$3.92$0
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes515¢18.5¢$0.93+$0.17$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes11.3k4.9¢0¢$0−$553−$7.86
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes10.0k35¢0¢$0−$3,500−$91
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes6,22255¢0¢$0−$3,423$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes3,11449.3¢0¢$0−$1,534$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?Yes3,00035¢0¢$0−$1,050$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes2,95587¢0¢$0−$2,571+$59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes2,79362.1¢0¢$0−$1,735−$569
Will there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?No2429.8¢0¢$0−$24−$0.86
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No18214¢0¢$0−$26+$1.76
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Yes11866.3¢0¢$0−$78−$1.06
Semen Padang FC vs. PSIS Semarang: O/U 8.5Over7516.6¢0¢$0−$12−$0.08
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?Yes548.8¢0¢$0−$4.77$0
Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?No5060¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?No4015¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes2747¢0¢$0−$13−$0.27
Semen Padang FC vs. PSIS Semarang: O/U 4.5Over1017¢0¢$0−$1.70$0
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes1045¢0¢$0−$4.50$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes523¢0¢$0−$1.15$0
Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 5 - 5 Greuther Furth?Yes558.6¢0¢$0−$2.93−$0.06

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Kia TigersKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers92.3¢2,052$1,89471%72Sharp
BUY Kia TigersKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers92.3¢2,222$2,05171%72Sharp
BUY Kia TigersKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers92¢2,060$1,89571%72Sharp
BUY Natus VincereMobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season83¢50$4271%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?72¢274$19771%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?71.9¢431$31071%72Sharp
SELL NoExact Score: Any Other Score?75¢244$18371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62.7¢260$16371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62.7¢260$16371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62.7¢255$16071%72Sharp
BUY YesExact Score: VfB Stuttgart 5 - 5 Greuther Furth?58.6¢5$2.9371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62.7¢260$16371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62.7¢260$16371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62¢85$5371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?63¢175$11071%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62¢85$5371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62.7¢260$16371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62.7¢260$16371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62.7¢260$16371%72Sharp
BUY NoExact Score: Any Other Score?62.7¢260$16371%72Sharp