sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

hnbl2715

0x984…5ac8
1y+Culture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,065vol $79.7k
PnL 30d−$1,038gains $1,769 · losses $2,441
PnL 7d+$256win rate 7d 46.7%
Win rate45.1%adj 45.7% · 30d 43.1%
Open value$792cash n/a
Positions57 / 203open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 17h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,381below peak −$1,485Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.1% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? · Yesopen+$272Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m? · Yesclosed+$238Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m? · Yesclosed+$221Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · Yesclosed+$204Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? · Yesclosed+$194

Worst markets

Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · Yesclosed−$1,428Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m? · Yesopen−$336Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yesopen−$205Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? · Noclosed−$202Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yesclosed−$167

Open positions · 57

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Yes42836¢99.6¢$426+$272$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?Yes20039¢92.1¢$184+$106$0
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?No8175.1¢97.3¢$79+$18+$8.77
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1,0003.8¢3.9¢$39+$0.50$0
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Yes3337¢97.4¢$32+$20+$42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No10016¢16.5¢$17+$0.50$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes1456.1¢5.2¢$7.54−$1.32$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes1005.2¢5.1¢$5.05−$0.15−$15
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?Yes5687.8¢0.2¢$0.85−$43−$11
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?Yes1,5002.2¢0.1¢$0.75−$33+$8.11
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Yes216¢2.6¢$0.53−$0.72$0
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 5m?Yes9560.2¢0.1¢$0.48−$1.27$0
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?Yes9301.8¢0.1¢$0.47−$16$0
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?Yes1564.8¢0.1¢$0.08−$7.37−$58
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Yes1,40014.5¢0¢$0−$202−$2.86
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No81612.8¢0¢$0−$105−$0.95
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes7290.8¢0¢$0−$5.95−$0.16
Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 10.5m and 11m?Yes6341.3¢0¢$0−$7.98$0
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?Yes56546.2¢0¢$0−$261−$76
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 28m?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Yes38510¢0¢$0−$39−$0.72
Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Yes3830.4¢0¢$0−$1.66−$0.13
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?Yes35919.4¢0¢$0−$70−$2.28
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Yes3310.2¢0¢$0−$0.66−$0.03
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 13m?Yes3301.2¢0¢$0−$3.96−$0.20
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Yes3006¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?Yes25312¢0¢$0−$30−$1.34
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Yes17620.3¢0¢$0−$36−$1.42
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m?Yes1541.3¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1500.7¢0¢$0−$1.05−$0.05
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?Yes1168.6¢0¢$0−$9.90$0
Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?Yes1020.2¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?No1001.1¢0¢$0−$1.10$0
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes1002¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?Yes10022¢0¢$0−$22−$0.86
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?Yes1009¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.41
Will "The Magic Faraway Tree" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes1001.2¢0¢$0−$1.20$0
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?No10021¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?Yes10012¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Yes10023¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No1002¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?No852.5¢0¢$0−$2.12−$0.10
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?Yes666¢0¢$0−$3.96$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?Yes603.3¢0¢$0−$1.98+$0.37
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 210m and 220m?Yes607¢0¢$0−$4.20$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Yes557¢0¢$0−$3.85$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 220m?Yes508¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes5012¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.26
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 210m?Yes5010¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.23
Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?Yes5011¢0¢$0−$5.50$0
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance3065¢0¢$0−$20−$0.34
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Yes2622.9¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.23
Will "Resident Evil" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?No2510¢0¢$0−$2.50−$7.82
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?Yes80.5¢0¢$0−$0.04−$0.98
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 6m?Yes426¢0¢$0−$0.98−$30

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?12.4¢375$4745%29
SELL YesWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?0.5¢607$3.1245%29
SELL YesWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?2.1¢189$3.9045%29
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?58¢20$1245%29
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?57¢25$1445%29
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?0.1¢104$0.1045%29
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?0.1¢734$0.7345%29
BUY YesWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?7.4¢134$1045%29
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?53¢65$3445%29
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?49¢41$2045%29
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?66¢5$3.3745%29
BUY YesWill "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?50¢20$1045%29
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?46¢61$2845%29
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?44.4¢50$2245%29
BUY YesWill "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?50.3¢30$1545%29
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?65¢20$1345%29
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?64¢20$1345%29
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?63¢20$1345%29
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?62¢20$1245%29
BUY NoWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?61¢20$1245%29