sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

PerfectTaste

0x993…deda
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,069vol $583k
PnL 30d+$551gains $1,920 · losses $1,207
PnL 7d−$451win rate 7d 69.2%
Win rate64.1%adj 63.5% · 30d 60.8%
Open value$10.9kcash n/a
Positions63 / 690open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$747below peak −$1,822Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 64.1% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 63

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No1,00093¢93.5¢$935+$5.00+$2.00
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?No1,19871.4¢76¢$910+$55−$0.14
Modi out by June 30, 2027?No1,00080¢83.5¢$835+$35$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No80086.1¢89¢$712+$23+$4.32
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes90772.7¢72.5¢$657−$1.53$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes70085¢89¢$623+$28+$16
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No60083¢93.5¢$561+$63+$89
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No55981.8¢93¢$520+$63−$103
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No55586¢82.5¢$458−$19+$14
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No46085¢92¢$423+$32+$2.00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes56071.9¢69.5¢$389−$14$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes42878¢87.3¢$373+$40−$47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes60662.5¢61.5¢$373−$6.03$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes49186.8¢70.5¢$346−$80−$0.01
Iran leadership change by December 31?No36884.5¢88.5¢$326+$15$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes40081¢80.5¢$322−$2.00+$82
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No32582.3¢90.5¢$294+$27$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes46362.8¢62.5¢$289−$1.55−$6.04
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No40068.7¢71.5¢$286+$11$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes60048.3¢44.6¢$267−$23−$147
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes30078.1¢78¢$234−$0.27$0
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?No28173¢79.5¢$223+$18$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No30063¢68.5¢$205+$16$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes20078¢80.5¢$161+$5.00$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes15059.6¢52¢$78−$11−$60
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes71014.5¢9¢$64−$39−$2.83
Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?Yes5557¢41.5¢$23−$8.53−$4.05
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Yes38137.9¢3.9¢$15−$130−$14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?Yes1664¢68¢$11+$0.64+$1.02
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes783¢88.5¢$6.25+$0.39$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No1,00042.1¢0¢$0−$421−$6.51
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0003.8¢0¢$0−$38−$8.04
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No52172.3¢0¢$0−$377−$4.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No50072.4¢0¢$0−$362$0
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3BetBoom Team42115.9¢0¢$0−$67+$21
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes40068.5¢0¢$0−$274−$2.59
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes32235.3¢0¢$0−$114−$10
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 39z30038.7¢0¢$0−$116−$1.98
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?No30068¢0¢$0−$204−$4.57
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Over30045¢0¢$0−$135−$2.23
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No29079¢0¢$0−$229$0
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?No28870.2¢0¢$0−$202−$3.98
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?No24058.2¢0¢$0−$140−$93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes22339.5¢0¢$0−$88−$1.60
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes21479.5¢0¢$0−$170−$1.74
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under20072¢0¢$0−$144−$1.21
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Legacy20064¢0¢$0−$128−$1.38
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No20067.3¢0¢$0−$135−$1.36
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No18876¢0¢$0−$142−$5.92
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes15047.3¢0¢$0−$71−$6.75
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?No15029.3¢0¢$0−$44−$0.50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over10445¢0¢$0−$47−$0.77
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Monte10064¢0¢$0−$64+$10
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under10056¢0¢$0−$56−$0.74
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over10077¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes10049.3¢0¢$0−$49−$55
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas10050¢0¢$0−$50−$0.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Legacy10018¢0¢$0−$18−$0.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3MOUZ10062¢0¢$0−$62−$34
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3PARIVISION7054¢0¢$0−$38−$0.52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No7083.8¢0¢$0−$59−$0.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsVitality5068¢0¢$0−$34−$0.33
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No3168.5¢0¢$0−$21−$0.30

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢1,000$83064%39
SELL YesZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?39¢54$2164%39
SELL NoWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?12¢100$1264%39
BUY NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?93¢1,000$93064%39
SELL YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?80¢192$15464%39
SELL NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?78¢1,090$85064%39
BUY NoWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?68¢133$9064%39
BUY NoWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?66¢100$6664%39
SELL YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?60¢22$1364%39
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?49.7¢295$14664%39
BUY YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?81¢400$32464%39
SELL YesZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?37¢79$2964%39
BUY YesZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?36¢40$1464%39
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢1,000$84064%39
BUY NoWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?69¢208$14464%39
BUY NoWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?72¢492$35464%39
SELL YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?81¢101$8264%39
SELL YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?80¢232$18564%39
BUY YesWill Peter Newman finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?55¢119$6564%39
BUY NoWill Zack Polanski finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?98.7¢451$44564%39