sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,340

strider-

0x997…5d15
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$24.8kvol $2.75M
PnL 30d+$5,375gains $8,831 · losses $870
PnL 7d+$78win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate85.2%adj 78.7% · 30d 72.7%
Open value$33.9kcash n/a
Positions23 / 117open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.4%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 27d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$28.4kbelow peak −$260Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 85.2% · shrunk toward 50%97
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d8
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes22.3k85.4¢96¢$21.4k+$2,356$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes13.5k87¢90.5¢$12.2k+$473$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No26389.9¢97¢$255+$19+$681
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes100k0.7¢0¢$0−$680$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes40.0k6.5¢0¢$0−$2,600$0
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes10.0k22.8¢0¢$0−$2,280$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No9,6323.9¢0¢$0−$379−$235
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes9,1012.8¢0¢$0−$252$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes7,75118.3¢0¢$0−$1,417−$447
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Yes6,2301.1¢0¢$0−$69−$4.74
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No5,5197¢0¢$0−$386−$184
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5,2205.1¢0¢$0−$265−$124
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes5,0002.9¢0¢$0−$145$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Yes4,4622.2¢0¢$0−$97−$6.67
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No4,0003.8¢0¢$0−$152$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No3,44261.9¢0¢$0−$2,130−$433
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No2,57918¢0¢$0−$464−$48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes1,5109.7¢0¢$0−$146−$5.29
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?Yes70014¢0¢$0−$98$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No43969¢0¢$0−$303$0
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes12530.3¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes4131.9¢0¢$0−$13−$0.04
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No2247¢0¢$0−$10$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?22¢169$3785%63
SELL NoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?97.4¢2,397$2,33585%63
SELL NoWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?78¢4,067$3,17285%63
BUY NoWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?81¢2,474$2,00485%63
BUY YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?80¢2,055$1,64485%63
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢15.0k$12.8k85%63Whale
SELL NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?99.8¢7,914$7,89985%63
BUY NoWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?98.6¢1,247$1,22985%63
BUY NoWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?98.6¢202$19985%63
BUY NoWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?98.3¢8,737$8,58885%63
BUY YesWill Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?97.8¢626$61285%63
BUY YesWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?92.8¢158$14685%63
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?87¢13.5k$11.8k85%63Whale
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?60¢20.0k$12.0k85%63Whale
BUY NoFed rate hike in 2026?41¢4,648$1,90685%63
BUY NoUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?57¢4,162$2,37285%63
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?93.9¢10.0k$9,38985%63
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?74¢553$40985%63
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?2.2¢4,462$9785%63
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?1.1¢6,230$6985%63