PnL all-time+$1,992vol $283k
PnL 30d+$143gains $0 · losses $408
PnL 7d−$61win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.6%adj 60.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,991cash n/a
Positions10 / 334open / all-time
Max drawdown−70.1%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 23d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,804below peak −$1,094Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 61.6% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d20
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity30
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Noopen+$1,294Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million? · Yesclosed+$1,140Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$1,009US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$932Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yesclosed+$834
Worst markets
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2,000 | 43¢ | 63.5¢ | $1,270 | +$410 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 1,400 | 85¢ | 83.2¢ | $1,164 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6,661 | 5.6¢ | 6.3¢ | $420 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 400 | 18¢ | 85.5¢ | $342 | +$270 | +$1,024 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 500 | 48¢ | 54.5¢ | $273 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 221 | 63.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $178 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 330 | 48.1¢ | 52.7¢ | $174 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 573 | 28.6¢ | 18¢ | $103 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 237 | 33¢ | 26.5¢ | $63 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 45 | 91¢ | 11¢ | $4.91 | −$36 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s