sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,801

0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB

0x9a4…1d99
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,515vol $8,599
PnL 30d+$3,811gains $949 · losses $136
PnL 7d+$3,772win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate73.0%adj 71.1% · 30d 55.1%
Open value$5,623cash n/a
Positions1,742 / 1,961open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 8d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$19below peak −$2,174Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 73.0% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d72
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes2,4645.8¢95.7¢$2,358+$2,215+$434
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 5 above $2.00?Yes38067.1¢93.5¢$355+$100$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?Yes40443.1¢59.5¢$240+$66$0
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 5 above $1.50?Yes4005¢50.1¢$200+$180$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?No32426.3¢52¢$168+$83$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?No14384.3¢96.9¢$139+$18$0
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes2,8044.5¢3.2¢$88−$39$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 35%-40%?No7996.2¢93.1¢$73−$2.46$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?No8050¢91¢$73+$33$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?No19014¢37.5¢$71+$45$0
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 5 above $3.00?No7089.1¢94.5¢$66+$3.75$0
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 9?No628¢99.6¢$62+$57$0
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 9?Yes6295.6¢96.4¢$60+$0.47$0
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on October 9?No605¢99.6¢$60+$57$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?No6328¢94¢$59+$42$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No27020¢18.5¢$50−$4.05$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October?No5016.5¢97.5¢$48+$40$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No18116¢26.5¢$48+$19$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No25520¢18.5¢$47−$3.83$0
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes11714.1¢40¢$47+$30$0
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 9?No6210¢74.4¢$46+$40$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?No6739.2¢68.5¢$46+$20$0
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?No4970¢83¢$40+$6.32$0
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No7532.5¢51¢$38+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No4009¢9.5¢$38+$2.00$0
Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes4936¢74.5¢$37+$19$0
Will the Green candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?No3792.6¢99.1¢$36+$2.37$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 30%-35%?No3589.9¢84.5¢$30−$1.91$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No3095.7¢97.1¢$29+$0.40$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No3562¢71¢$25+$3.18$0
Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027?No7322.3¢33.5¢$25+$8.19$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?No3191.9¢79¢$24−$3.93$0
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?No4061.2¢57.5¢$23−$1.48$0
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4643.1¢49¢$23+$2.71$0
Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes20418¢10.5¢$21−$15$0
Will Pluralis launch a token by June 30, 2027?No2985¢68.5¢$20−$4.82$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No2587¢7.5¢$19+$1.29$0
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes200.8¢92.5¢$19+$18$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No8331¢21¢$18−$8.34+$170
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 30%-35%?No2097.7¢86.9¢$17−$2.16$0
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes4072.5¢42¢$17−$12$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 15%-20%?No2075.6¢80.8¢$16+$1.04$0
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes7320.9¢22¢$16+$0.78$0
Will OnRe launch a token by December 31, 2027?No4590¢35¢$16−$25$0
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No3534.2¢41.8¢$15+$2.67$0
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?No2582¢58¢$15−$6.00$0
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?No2545¢57¢$14+$3.00$0
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?No13332.5¢10.5¢$14−$29+$153
Will Fuse launch a token by June 30, 2027?No1924¢56¢$11+$6.16$0
Will Ja'Marr Chase have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1550¢69¢$10+$2.85$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No1184¢90.1¢$10+$0.70$0
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No1095.9¢95.3¢$9.98−$0.06$0
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes1035¢88¢$8.80+$5.30$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No2332.5¢38¢$8.78+$1.27$0
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes1535.4¢58.3¢$8.75+$3.43$0
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?No1189¢81.5¢$8.57−$0.79$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Yes8032.8¢10.5¢$8.40−$18$0
Will Arch Network launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes1055¢79¢$7.90+$2.40$0
Will Jonathan Taylor have 13.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1036¢75.5¢$7.55+$3.95$0
Will Mike Evans have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1033.5¢74.5¢$7.45+$4.10$0
Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes1011.5¢74.5¢$7.45+$6.30$0
Will George Pickens have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1062.5¢74.5¢$7.45+$1.20$0
Will CeeDee Lamb have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1072¢74¢$7.40+$0.20$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?Yes8050¢9¢$7.20−$33$0
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $152 in October?Yes2097¢35.5¢$7.10−$12$0
Will Tyler Shough have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1070¢69.5¢$6.95−$0.05$0
Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?No760.1¢98.4¢$6.79+$2.64$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No882.7¢85¢$6.71+$0.18$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No1039.1¢62¢$6.26+$2.31$0
Will Matthew Stafford have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes972.7¢70¢$6.25−$0.24$0
Will Codex launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes1015¢62.5¢$6.25+$4.75$0
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes263.2¢24.1¢$6.25+$5.41$0
Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?No2033¢31¢$6.20−$0.40$0
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1053¢61.5¢$6.15+$0.85$0
Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win the second half?Yes123¢50¢$6.00+$5.64$0
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes263.2¢23¢$5.95+$5.11$0
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes1068.3¢59¢$5.95−$0.94$0
Will edgeX reach $1.00 before 2027?Yes1742¢34.5¢$5.82−$1.26$0
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No3515¢16.5¢$5.78+$0.53$0
Vitória SC to win the second half?Yes126¢47¢$5.64+$4.92$0
Will G2 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes1123.2¢4.9¢$5.45+$1.83$0
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?No2048¢27¢$5.40−$4.20$0
Will Jared Goff have 4,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1050¢53¢$5.30+$0.30$0
Will Pluralis launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes1823.6¢29.5¢$5.23+$1.05$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?No550¢94.2¢$5.17+$2.43$0
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?Yes4173¢12.6¢$5.13−$25$0
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes543¢99.9¢$4.99+$2.84$0
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 5 above $1.00?No1046¢49.7¢$4.97+$0.37$0
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 15, 2026?No553¢98.6¢$4.93+$2.28$0
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Yes104.3¢47.8¢$4.78+$4.34$0
Will Jared Goff have 4,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No1050¢47¢$4.70−$0.30$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes579¢94¢$4.70+$0.75$0
Will Mike Evans have 1,024.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No572¢92.5¢$4.63+$1.02$0
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes424.6¢11.1¢$4.62+$2.70$0
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?No654¢73¢$4.55+$1.18$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 55%-60%?No841¢58.5¢$4.43+$1.32$0
Will Josh Allen have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes593.1¢86¢$4.38−$0.36$0
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?Yes1018¢43¢$4.30+$2.50$0
Will Michael Wilson have 524.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes564¢84.5¢$4.22+$1.02$0
Tori FDV above $300M one day after launch?No559¢84¢$4.20+$1.25$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?97.3¢2$1.9573%59
SELL YesWill Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?97.4¢250$24373%59
SELL NoWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?99.8¢300$29973%59
BUY NoWill KFUM Oslo win Norway Eliteserien?99.9¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill HamKam win Norway Eliteserien?99.9¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Rosenborg win Norway Eliteserien?99.8¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Fredrikstad win Norway Eliteserien?99.9¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Vålerenga win Norway Eliteserien?99.6¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Brann win Norway Eliteserien?99.9¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Sarpsborg 08 win Norway Eliteserien?99.9¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Sandefjord win Norway Eliteserien?99.9¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Molde win Norway Eliteserien?99.8¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Lillestrøm win Norway Eliteserien?99.9¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Tromsø win Norway Eliteserien?99.4¢36$3673%59
BUY NoWill Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?33.6¢36$1273%59
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?93.4¢291$27273%59
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?98.8¢7$6.9473%59
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 9%-12%?98.8¢7$6.9473%59
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 9%-12%?94¢7$6.6073%59
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%?89¢7$6.2573%59